Beyond the ballot box
The effect of election violence on electoral participation in Africa
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 24225122 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Inken Von Borzyskowski (0000-0002-9047-5290, University of Oxford), Michael Wahman (0000-0002-7334-5793, Michigan State University) |
| Year | 2026 |
| Volume | 63 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 166-180 |
| Publication date | 2026-03-23 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Publisher | Oxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1093/jopres/xjaf022 |
| OpenAlex | W7131417422 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 55 |
How does fear of election violence affect electoral participation? We study how fear of election violence affects different forms of political participation important during electoral processes in African democracies. While the literature has focused almost exclusively on the way that election violence impedes voting, we argue that voting is not the only or even the most affected form of participation depressed by fear of violence. Instead, fear of violence is more likely to depress key pre-electoral forms of participation, such as campaign participation and public political deliberation. Empirically, we rely on experimental and observational survey data of almost 3,000 randomly selected respondents in Lusaka, Zambia. We find that respondents report a lower willingness to engage in pre-electoral forms of participation when the hypothetical electoral environment is more violent. When such violence is present, they also assess the physical risk of participating in such activities as higher. Moreover, violence reduces pre-electoral forms of participation more than turnout. We corroborate these survey experimental findings with observational data. Our findings contribute to a fuller appreciation of the way that violence erodes the quality of democracy and exacerbates political inequalities.
African democracy · campaign participation · electoral participation · electoral violence · fear of violence · physical risk · political inequality · Political participation · quality of democracy · Voter turnout · Zambia · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Political Conflict and Governance · Political Theory and Democracy
Conjoint Survey Experiments
Votes and Violence
Rule by Violence, Rule by Law
How citizens attribute blame for electoral violence
Controlling Territory, Controlling Voters
The Credibility Challenge
Everyday Choices
Electoral Politics and Africa's Urban Transition
Democracy in Ghana
The presidential rally in Uganda
Campaign rallies and political meaning-making
The social embeddedness of elections
Hybrid rallies and a rally-centric campaign
Fear of campaign violence and support for democracy and autocracy
Elite Competition, Social Movements, and Election Violence in Nigeria
Violence, bribery, and fraud
How Conditioning on Posttreatment Variables Can Ruin Your Experiment and What to Do about It
Contentious cities? Urban growth and electoral violence in Africa
Clientelism and Voting Behavior
The Misreporting Trade-Off Between List Experiments and Direct Questions in Practice
Causal Inference in Conjoint Analysis
Party footprints in Africa
Zimbabwe's Hijacked Election
How Strategic Violence Distorts African Elections
Get out the vote – or else
Voting out autocrats
Polarization as Craft
Drivers of Political Participation
Systematic Measurement Error in Election Violence Data
Bullets and Votes
Ethics Abroad
Party campaign strategies in Ghana
Of cabbages and King Cobra
Demanding Recognition
Nigerian Youth Engagement in Violent Electoral Environments
Violence in the city that belongs to no one
The political economy of urban party switching in African elections
Does electoral violence affect vote choice and willingness to vote? Conjoint analysis of a vignette experiment
Perils of pluralism
Vote buying and violence in Nigerian election campaigns
The new research agenda studying electoral integrity
Electoral violence
Intimidating voters with violence and mobilizing them with clientelism
Electoral contention and violence (Ecav)
Carrots and sticks
Who dissents? Self-efficacy and opposition action after state-sponsored election violence
Repression and Dissent in Moments of Uncertainty
The Psychology of State Repression
Autocratisation, electoral politics and the limits of incumbency in African democracies
The Contradictions of Pre-election Violence
| Highly cited | No |
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