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Carrots and sticks

Experimental evidence of vote-buying and voter intimidation in Guatemala

Bibliographic Data

ID3917121
AuthorsEzequiel González-Ocantos (0000-0002-9617-478X, University of Oxford, corresponding author), Chad Kiewiet De Jonge (Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas), Carlos Meléndez (0000-0001-8394-7045, Diego Portales University), David W Nickerson (0000-0001-6383-9418, Temple College), David Nickerson (0000-0002-5461-4468, Temple University), Javier Osorio (0000-0002-4548-7794, University of Arizona)
Year2020
Volume57
Issue1
Pages46-61
Publication date2020-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Peace Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022343319884998
OpenAlexW2994737883
LanguageEN
Citations received43
References cited55

How do parties target intimidation and vote-buying during elections? Parties prefer the use of carrots over sticks because they are in the business of getting voters to like them and expect higher legitimacy costs if observers expose intimidation. However, their brokers sometimes choose intimidation because it is cheaper and possibly more effective than vote-buying. Specifically, we contend that brokers use intimidation when the cost of buying votes is prohibitively high; in interactions with voters among whom the commitment problem inherent to clientelistic transactions is difficult to overcome; and in contexts where the risk of being denounced for violence is lower. We probe our hypotheses about the different profile of voters targeted with vote-buying and intimidation using two list experiments included in an original survey conducted during the 2011 Guatemalan general elections. The list experiments were designed to overcome the social desirability bias associated with direct questions about illegal or stigmatized behaviors. Our quantitative analysis is supplemented by interviews with politicians from various parties. The analysis largely confirms our expectations about the diametrically opposed logics of vote-buying and intimidation targeting, and illuminates how both are key components of politics in a country with weak parties and high levels of violence

Advertising · Business · Computer security · Criminology · Intimidation · Legitimacy · Political science · Politics · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies · Law · Psychology · Social Psychology · Survey Sampling and Estimation Techniques

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Unique citing works43
Citations per year5,38
Citation span2018 - 2026 (9)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 41

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