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From Cooptation to Violence

Managing Competitive Authoritarian Elections

Bibliographic Data

ID10071598
AuthorsAhmed Ezzeldin Mohamed (0000-0003-0143-337X, Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse, Toulouse School of Economics, University of Toulouse Capitole, Toulouse, France, corresponding author)
Year2024
Volume69
Issue4
Pages731-760
Publication date2024-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/00220027241267209
OpenAlexW4401277752
LanguageEN
References cited45

Autocratic elections are often marred with systematic intimidation and violence towards voters and candidates. When do authoritarian regimes resort to violent electoral strategies? I argue that electoral violence acts as a risk-management strategy in competitive authoritarian elections where: (a) the regime’s prospects for coopting local elites, competitors, and voters are weak, and (b) the expected political cost of electoral violence is low. I test these propositions by explaining the subnational distribution of electoral violence during the most violent election in Mubarak’s Egypt (1981–2011): the 2005 Parliamentary Election. The results indicate that electoral violence is higher in districts where: the regime has a lower capacity for coopting local elites, it faces competition from ideological (rather than rent-seeking) challengers with no cooptation potential, clientelistic strategies are costlier and less effective, and citizens' capacity for non-electoral mobilization is low. The conclusions provide lessons for containing electoral manipulation and violence in less democratic contexts

Authoritarianism · Autocracy · Competition (biology · Competitor analysis · Democracy · Economic system · Economics · Electoral geography · Ideology · Intimidation · Political economy · Political science · Political violence · Politics · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Politics and Society in Latin America

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