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The complex structure of commercial peace contrasting trade interdependence, asymmetry, and multipolarity

Bibliographic Data

ID3916435
AuthorsErik Gartzke (0000-0001-9439-1310, Department of Political Science, University of California, San Diego), Oliver Westerwinter (0000-0003-2703-1918, University of St.Gallen, corresponding author)
Year2016
Volume53
Issue3
Pages325-343
Publication date2016-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Peace Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022343316637895
OpenAlexW2375705878
LanguageEN
Citations received31
References cited71

Researchers continue to debate the impact of trade on interstate conflict. While many view trade as pacifying, others argue that dependencies increase friction and the risk of war. We provide a theory that explains how cross-border economic ties alternately enhance or impede international cooperation. Three main factors account for the heterogeneous effects of trade on conflict: interdependence, asymmetry, and multipolarity. Interdependence can act as a substitute for, or as a deterrent to, militarized violence. In the former case, interdependence actually increases more modest non-militarized conflict, while also discouraging militarized disputes. Asymmetry diminishes the conflict-inhibiting effect of trade ties, as dependency cannot simultaneously be used to coerce and to inform. Multilateral trade networks alternately moderate or enhance the bilateral effects of interdependence and asymmetry on interstate peace. Our theory and evidence reveal complex, cross-cutting consequences of economic interdependence on conflict behavior and also demonstrate effects well beyond the dyad, suggesting the need to include extradyadic ties in future theoretical and empirical research studying the commercial peace

Dyad · Economic interdependence · Economics · Interdependence · International conflict · International economics · International trade · Political science · Politics · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works31
Citations per year3,1
Citation span2016 - 2026 (11)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 30

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