Predicting the decline of ethnic civil war
Was Gurr right and for the right reasons
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3918286 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Lars-Erik Cederman (0000-0002-8511-0617, ETH Zurich, corresponding author), Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (0000-0003-4149-3211, Department of Government, University of Essex & Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)), Julian Wucherpfennig (0000-0001-8935-1373, Hertie School of Governance) |
| Year | 2017 |
| Volume | 54 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 262-274 |
| Publication date | 2017-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022343316684191 |
| OpenAlex | W2568546205 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 36 |
| References cited | 53 |
Many scholars have detected a decrease of political violence, but the causes of this decline remain unclear. As a contribution to this debate, we revisit the controversy over trends in conflict after the end of the Cold War. While many made ominous predictions of surging ethnic warfare, Gurr presented evidence of a pacifying trend since the mid-1990s and predicted a further decline in ethnic conflict in an article on 'the waning of ethnic war'. Leveraging more recent data on ethnic groups and their participation in ethnic civil wars, this study evaluates if Gurr was right about the decline of ethnic conflict, and if he was right for the right reasons. We assess whether an increase in governments' accommodative policies toward ethnic groups can plausibly account for a decline in ethnic civil war. Our findings lend considerable support to an account of the pacifying trend that stresses the granting of group rights, regional autonomy, and inclusion in power-sharing, as well as democratization and peacekeeping
Autonomy · Criminology · Democracy · Democratization · Development economics · Economics · Ethnic conflict · Ethnic group · Peacekeeping · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · Asian Geopolitics and Ethnography · Law · Peacebuilding and International Security · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology
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Accusations
| Unique citing works | 36 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3,6 |
| Citation span | 2016 - 2026 (11) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 34 |