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The intrinsic probability of theism

Bibliographic Data

ID4079364
AuthorsCalum Miller (0000-0003-3408-1737, University of Oxford, corresponding author)
Year2018
Volume13
Issue10
Publication date2018-10-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePhilosophy Compass (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1747-9991 • E-ISSN: 1747-9991
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/phc3.12523
OpenAlexW2809991467
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited24

In this paper, I explore one of the most important but least discussed components of an evidentialist case for or against theism: its intrinsic plausibility and simplicity as a theory aside from the evidence. This is a crucial consideration in any inductive framework, whether Inference to the Best Explanation, probabilism, or another. In the context of Bayesian reasoning, this corresponds to an assessment of theism's intrinsic probability. I offer a survey of how philosophers of science have attempted to evaluate the intrinsic plausibility and simplicity of scientific theories more generally, before applying these considerations to the question of God's existence

Aside · Bayesian probability · Epistemology · Inductive reasoning · Inference · Simplicity · Theism · Computer Science · Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics · Philosophy · Philosophy and Theoretical Science · Theology and Philosophy of Evil · Artificial Intelligence

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    Open Access•Calum Miller•Religious Studies•2021

  • Recent Work on Traditional Arguments for Theism I

    Open Access•C Alison Mcintosh•Philosophy Compass•2022

  • E. A. Milne's Scales of Time

    Adolf Grunbaum•The British Journal for the…•1954

  • Is theism a simple hypothesis? The simplicity of omni-properties

    Open Access•Calum Miller•Religious Studies•2016

  • Some Reflections on Richard Swinburne's Argument from Design

    Open Access•MARK WYNN•Religious Studies•1993

  • How the divine properties fit together

    Open Access•Richard Swinburne•Religious Studies•2009

  • Swinburne's argument for the existence of God

    Open Access•JULIA BRAUNSTEINER-BERGER•Religious Studies•2014

  • Richard Swinburne's argument to the simplicity of God via the infinite

    Open Access•JEREMY GWIAZDA•Religious Studies•2009

  • An Introduction to Confirmation Theory

    Mark Pastin, Richard Swinburne•The Philosophical Review•1975

  • Arguments for–or against–Probabilism

    Alan Hajek•The British Journal for the…•2008

  • Quantitative Parsimony

    Daniel Nolan•The British Journal for the…•1997

  • Explanationist Aid for the Theory of Inductive Logic

    Michael Huemer•The British Journal for the…•2009

  • When Is Parsimony a Virtue

    Michael Huemer•The Philosophical Quarterly•2009

Citations per year0.4
Citation span2021 - 2022 (2)
Highly citedNo

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