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Policies Addressing the Tempo Effect in Low-Fertility Countries

Bibliographic Data

ID4120772
AuthorsWolfgang Lutz (0000-0001-7975-8145, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis), Vegard Skirbekk (0000-0002-1647-3246, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
Year2005
Volume31
Issue4
Pages699-720
Publication date2005-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1728-4457.2005.00094.x
OpenAlexW2010709197
LanguageEN
Citations received54
References cited30

The possible negative consequences of current low fertility levels are causing increasing concern, particularly in countries where the total fertility rate is below 1.5. Social inertia and self-reinforcing processes may make it difficult to return to higher levels once fertility has been very low for some time, creating a possible "low-fertility trap." Policies explicitly addressing the fertility-depressing effect of increases in the mean age at childbearing (the tempo effect) may be a way to raise period fertility to somewhat higher levels and help escape the "low-fertility trap" before it closes. Reforms in the school system may affect the timing of childbearing by lowering the age at completion of education. A more efficient school system, which provides the same qualifications with a younger school-leaving age, is potentially capable of increasing period fertility and hence exerting a rejuvenating effect on the age composition, even if the levels of cohort fertility remain unchanged. Such policies may also have a positive effect on completed cohort fertility

Business · Development economics · Economics · Environmental health · Fertility · Natural resource economics · Population · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Intergenerational Family Dynamics and Caregiving · Medicine

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Unique citing works54
Citations per year2,7
Citation span2006 - 2026 (21)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 48

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