A unified theory of risk
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4351809 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jaakko Hirvelä (0000-0002-0036-0378, University of Helsinki, corresponding author), Niall J Paterson (0000-0003-1178-0463, University of Helsinki) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Publication date | 2024-10-30 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The Philosophical Quarterly (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0031-8094 • E-ISSN: 1467-9213 |
| Publisher | Oxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1093/pq/pqae131 |
| OpenAlex | W4403922037 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 33 |
A novel theory of comparative risk is developed and defended. Extant theories are criticized for failing the tests of extensional and formal adequacy. A unified diagnosis is proposed: extant theories consider risk to be a univariable function, but risk is a multivariate function. According to the theory proposed, which we call the unified theory of risk, the riskiness of a proposition is a function of both the proportion and the modal closeness of the possible worlds at which the proposition holds. It is argued the theory passes the tests of extensional and formal adequacy
Epistemology · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics · Philosophy
Risk and Rationality
Between Probability and Certainty
Anti-Luck Virtue Epistemology
On narrow norms and vague heuristics
On the psychology of prediction.
Towards a Hybrid Account of Luck
Safety and Necessity
Non‐Accidental Knowing
Justification and the knowledge-connection
Metaphysics of risk and luck
Unreasonable Knowledge
Evidence, Risk, and Proof Paradoxes
Global safety
Relevance and risk
Truth, knowledge, and the standard of proof in criminal law
On the definition of objective probabilities by empirical similarity
The Lottery Paradox, Knowledge, and Rationality
Varieties of Risk
The Principal Principle Implies the Principle of Indifference
Naked statistical evidence of liability
| Unique citing works | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2 |
| Citation span | 2025 - 2026 (2) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 2 |