Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

The effect of income on fertility

Bibliographic Data

ID4904652
AuthorsJulian L Simon (corresponding author)
Year1969
Volume23
Issue3
Pages327-341
Publication date1969-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00324728.1969.10405289
PMID22073952
OpenAlexW2073987011
LanguageEN
Citations received61
References cited5

Cross-sectional data and long-period time series data have generally shown an inverse relationship between income and fertility. But short-period time series data over the business cycle have shown a direct relationship. The first part of this paper resolves this apparent paradox by showing that it arises from a statistical illusion-specification bias due to omitted lagged variables. The second part of the paper then considers the likely unconditional effect of income on fertility in several sorts of situations: (a) secular income increase in less developed countries; (b) cyclical income change in industrialized countries; (c) secular income increase in industrialized countries; and (d) incentive payments for higher and lower fertility

Business cycle · Demographic economics · Developed country · Econometrics · Economics · Fertility · Incentive · Income distribution · Labour economics · Macroeconomics · Population · Demography · Economic Growth and Productivity · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Income, Poverty, and Inequality · Mathematics

  • Temperature shocks and childbearing in Australia

    Open Access•Akwasi Ampofo, Sefa Awaworyi Churchill•Population Studies•2026

  • Socio-economic factors associated with unwanted births to married women

    Open Access•Mary E Brennan, Richard Hebel•Journal of Biosocial Science•1975

  • The relationship of income and consumption of modern goods to fertility

    Open Access•Akbar Aghajanian•Journal of Biosocial Science•1979

  • Height, Partners and Offspring

    Open Access•Hung-Lin Tao, Ching-Chen Yin•Journal of Biosocial Science•2016

  • Some social determinants of recent trends in British fertility

    Open Access•Joan Busfield, Geoffrey Hawthorn•Journal of Biosocial Science•1971

  • Unequal Economic Development and Migrations

    Open Access•Emilio Casetti•Papers of the Regional Science…•1977

  • Men in the demographic transition

    Open Access•B S Low•Human Nature•1994

  • Does observed fertility maximize fitness among New Mexican men

    Open Access•H Kaplan, Hillard S Kaplan et al.•Human Nature•1995

  • Do high-status people really have fewer children

    Open Access•Jason Weeden, Michael J Abrams et al.•Human Nature•2006

  • Fertility Expectations and Ethnic Identity among Mexican-American Adolescents

    Open Access•Ann Marie Sorenson•Sociological Perspectives•1985

  • Socioeconomic Change, Peasant Household Structure and Demographic Behavior in a French Department

    Open Access•James R Lehning•Journal of Family History•1992

  • Scarcity and Prosperity in Postwar Childbearing

    Open Access•Glen H Elder•Journal of Family History•1981

  • Report on the Demographic Situation in Canada 1986

    Open Access•Kevin Mcquillan, Jean Dumas•The Canadian Journal of Sociology•1989

  • The simple analytics of contraceptive social marketing

    Open Access•Jere R Behrman•World Development•1989

  • Female labor-force participation, occupational choice, and fertility in developing countries

    Open Access•James L McCabe, Mark R Rosenzweig•Journal of Development Economics•1976

  • Men, women, and sustainability

    Open Access•B S Low•Population and Environment•1996

  • Third World Women, World Population Growth

    Elizabeth Moen, Elizabeth W Moen•The Journal of Sociology & Social…•1977

  • Micro and macro economic psychology

    Open Access•W Fred Van Raaij•Journal of Economic Psychology•1984

  • Social Science Research on Population

    Bernard Berelson•Population and Development Review•1976

  • An analysis of the impact of education on family size

    Open Access•Barbara S Janowitz, B Janowitz•Demography•1976

  • Puzzles and further explorations in the interrelationships of successive births with husband’s income, spouses’ education and race

    Open Access•Julian L Simon•Demography•1975

  • Income and Fertility

    Open Access•Deborah S Freedman, Deborah Freedman et al.•Demography•1982

  • Fertility and income, consumption aspirations, and child quality standards

    Open Access•Arland Thornton•Demography•1979

  • Market Segmentation in Promoting Contraception

    Julian L Simon•Studies in Family Planning•1974

  • Plantations, population, and poverty

    Open Access•Gerald E Karush•Studies in Comparative…•1978

  • Areal structure and rates of childlessness among American wives in 1970

    Phillips Cutright, Karen A Polonko et al.•Social Biology•1977

  • Family type, family resources, and fertility among Iranian peasant women

    Akbar Aghajanian•Social Biology•1978

  • Marketable licenses for babies

    David M Heer•Social Biology•1975

  • Fertility Interactions and Modernization Turning Points

    Paul R Gregory, John M Campbell et al.•Journal of Political Economy•1976

  • A Choice Model of Occupational Status and Fertility

    R L Hopcroft, Joseph M Whitmeyer•Journal of Mathematical Sociology•2010

  • Offspring Gender and Family Size

    Charles H Wood, Frank D Bean•Journal of Marriage and the Family•1977

  • The Effect of Relative Economic Status on Fertility

    Stephen J Bahr, Bruce A Chadwick et al.•Journal of Marriage and the Family•1975

  • Differences in fertility determinants

    Paul R Gregory, Paul Gregory et al.•The Journal of Development Studies•1973

  • Nonrecursive Models of Labor Force Participation, Fertility Behavior and Sex Role Attitudes

    L Smith-Lovin, A R Tickamyer•American Sociological Review•1978

  • Social versus reproductive success

    Open Access•Daniel R Vining•Behavioral and Brain Sciences•1986

  • Fertility in the time of depression

    Open Access•Andrew Chase Holt, Arjina Akter et al.•Journal of Demographic Economics•2026

  • Religion effects on fertility preference

    Open Access•Dayuan Xie, Yonghong Zhou•Journal of Population Research•2022

  • The US baby boom and the 1935 Social Security Act

    Gregori Galofré‐vilà•The History of the Family•2023

  • Unequal economic development and migrations

    Open Access•Emilio Casetti•Papers of the Regional Science…•1977

  • A theory of fertility and parental investment in traditional and modern human societies

    Open Access•H Kaplan•American Journal of Physical…•1996

  • Economic growth and the population explosion

    Emilio Casetti•The Journal of Development Studies•1977

  • The Reluctant Economist

    Open Access•Richard A Easterlin•Reluctant Economist•2004

  • Child Endowments and the Quantity and Quality of Children

    Gary S Becker, Nigel Tomes•Journal of Political Economy•1976

  • The Swedish Family

    Open Access•Britta Hoem, Jan M Hoem•Journal of Family Issues•1988

  • Testing Evolutionary Hypotheses with Demographic Data

    Open Access•Alice L Clarke, B S Low•Population and Development Review•2001

  • Toward an Ecological Demography

    B S Low, Alice L Clarke et al.•Population and Development Review•1992

  • On Aggregate Empirical Studies Relating Population Variables to Economic Development

    Julian L Simon•Population and Development Review•1989

  • Why Do Americans Want Children

    Robert Schoen, Young J Kim et al.•Population and Development Review•1997

  • Fertility as Consumption

    Richard P Bagozzi, M Frances Van Loo•Journal of Consumer Research•1978

  • Socio-cultural variations in the applicability of the economic model of fertility

    Roderic Beaujot, Roderic P Beaujot et al.•Population Studies•1978

  • Recent Fertility in Mexico

    Daniel A Seiver•Population Studies•1975

  • Subreplacement fertility in the West before the baby boom

    Jan Van Bavel•Population Studies•2010

  • The Education Abroad and Income Paradox

    Open Access•Wei Liu•International Migration Review•2025

  • Family allowance and family planning in Chile

    Stephen J Plank•American Journal of Public Health•1978

  • Ethnic Variations in the Relationship between Income and Fertility

    Open Access•Frank D Bean, Charles H Wood•Demography•1974

  • What will 1984 be like? Socioeconomic implications of recent twists in age structure

    Open Access•Richard A Easterlin•Demography•1978

  • Dynamic properties of Taiwanese fertility, 1950–1972

    Open Access•Darius J Conger, David C Luan•Studies in Comparative…•1979

  • Status of National Family Planning Programmes of Developing Countries in relation to demographic targets

    Dorothy Nortman, Dorothy L Nortman•Population Studies•1972

  • The influence of fluctuations in economic conditions on fertility and marriage rates, Australia, 1920-21 to 1937-38 and 1946-47 to 1966-67

    K G Basavarajappa•Population Studies•1971

  • The concept and measurement of child dependency

    Allan Schnaiberg•Population Studies•1973

  • A proposed explanation of the fertility gap differentials by socio-economic status and modernity

    Atef M Khalifa•Population Studies•1973

  • On the relation of economic factors to recent and projected fertility changes

    Open Access•Richard A Easterlin•Demography•1966

  • Long swings in U.S. demographic and economic growth

    Open Access•Richard A Easterlin•Demography•1965

  • The Effect of Income on the Suicide Rate

    Julian L Simon•American Journal of Sociology•1968

Unique citing works61
Citations per year1,11
Citation span1971 - 2026 (56)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 27

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae