Similarities in mortality patterns from influenza in the first half of the 20th century and the rise and fall of ischemic heart disease in the United States
A New Hypothesis Concerning the Coronary Heart Disease Epidemic
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 5223424 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Maria Inês Reinert Azambuja (0000-0003-1550-1329, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul), Bruce B Duncan (0000-0002-7491-2630, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul) |
| Year | 2002 |
| Volume | 18 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 557-577 |
| Publication date | 2002-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Cadernos de Saude Publica (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0102-311X • E-ISSN: 1678-4464 |
| Publisher | FapUNIFESP (SciELO) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1590/s0102-311x2002000300002 |
| PMID | 12048584 |
| OpenAlex | W2170659665 |
| SCIELO_PID | S0102-311X2002000300002 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 5 |
| References cited | 38 |
The classic risk factors for developing coronary heart disease (CHD) explain less than 50% of the decrease in mortality observed since 1950. The transition currently under way, from the degenerative to the infectious-inflammatory paradigm, requires a new causal interpretation of temporal trends. The following is an ecological study based on data from the United States showing that in men and women an association between the age distribution of mortality due to influenza and pneumonia (I&P) associated with the influenza pandemic in 1918-1919 in the 10-49-year age bracket and the distribution of CHD mortality from 1920 to 1985 in survivors from the corresponding birth cohorts. It further shows a significant negative correlation (r = -0.68, p = 0.042) between excess mortality from I&P accumulated in epidemics from 1931 to 1940 (used as indicator for persistent circulation of H1N1 virus combined with vulnerability to infection) and the order of the beginning in the decline in CHD mortality in nine geographic divisions in the United States. In light of current biological knowledge, the data suggest that the 1918 influenza pandemic and the subsequent epidemics up to 1957 might have played a determinant role in the epidemic of CHD mortality registered in the 20th century
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) · Disease · Infectious disease (medical specialty) · Influenza pandemic · Mortality rate · Outbreak · Pandemic · Pneumonia · Sociology · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Demography · Influenza Virus Research Studies · Internal Medicine · Medicine · Virology · Gerontology
Demographic and Evolutionary Consequences of Pandemic Diseases
Doenças crônicas não-transmissíveis no Brasil
From degeneration to infection/inflammation, and from individual-centered to ecologic approaches to investigation of evolving patterns of diseases occurrences in populations
Are Modern Environments Really Bad for Us
The pandemic of 1918 and the heart disease epidemic in middle-aged men and women in the United States
Sick individuals and sick populations
Atherosclerosis — An Inflammatory Disease
Theories for social epidemiology in the 21st century
Genesis and Development of a Scientific Fact
Historical Epidemiology and Grid Analysis of Epidemiologic Data
Sick Individuals and Sick Populations
Social inequalities in the decline of coronary mortality
Traditional epidemiology, modern epidemiology, and public health
Emerging objectives and methods in epidemiology
Socioenvironmental characteristics associated with the onset of decline of ischemic heart disease mortality in the United States
Geographic and socioeconomic variation in the onset of decline of coronary heart disease mortality in white women
Choosing a future for epidemiology
O desafio das doenças emergentes e a revalorização da epidemiologia descritiva
Rise and fall in ischemic heart disease mortality
Modelos dinâmicos e redes sociais
| Unique citing works | 5 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,23 |
| Citation span | 2004 - 2021 (18) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 4 |