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Forecasting the 2012 American National Elections

Editor's Introduction

Bibliographic Data

ID6099883
AuthorsJames E Campbell (0000-0001-6901-6834, University at Buffalo, State University of New York, corresponding author)
Year2012
Volume45
Issue4
Pages610-613
Publication date2012-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePS Political Science & Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1049-0965 • E-ISSN: 1537-5935
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s1049096512000856
OpenAlexW2082865575
LanguageEN
Citations received26
References cited8

This symposium presents 13 articles forecasting the 2012 US national elections. Included in this collection are the eight national and one state presidential vote forecasting models published in PS: Political Science & Politics during the 2008 elections along with three additional forecasts and one article offering a composite of the forecasts. Although the focus remains on the presidential contest, as in past years, several articles extend their scope to cover the congressional elections as well

CONTEST · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Engineering · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies · Public Administration

  • Forecasts of the 2012 US Presidential Election based on Candidates’ Perceived Competence in Handling the Most Important Issue

    Open Access•Andreas Graefe, J Scott Armstrong•Political Science Research and…•2014

  • Are election results more unpredictable? A forecasting test

    Open Access•Richard Nadeau, Ruth Dassonneville et al.•Political Science Research and…•2020

  • US Presidential Election Forecasting

    Open Access•Michael S Lewis-Beck, Mary Stegmaier•PS Political Science & Politics•2014

  • Accuracy of Combined Forecasts for the 2012 Presidential Election

    Open Access•Andreas Graefe, J Scott Armstrong et al.•PS Political Science & Politics•2014

  • The 2012 Presidential Election

    Matthew J Dickinson, Matthew Dickinson•PS Political Science & Politics•2014

  • The Predictive Power of Uniform Swing

    Open Access•Simon Jackman•PS Political Science & Politics•2014

  • The Future of Election Forecasting

    Open Access•Drew A Linzer•PS Political Science & Politics•2014

  • Forecasting Presidential Nominations in 2016

    Open Access•Andrew J Dowdle, Randall E Adkins et al.•PS Political Science & Politics•2016

  • Forecasting the 2020 Electoral College Winner

    Open Access•Peter K Enns, Julius Lagodny•PS Political Science & Politics•2021

  • The Campbell Collection of Presidential Election Forecasts, 1984–2016

    Open Access•Alfred G Cuzán•PS Political Science & Politics•2021

  • Fiscal Model Failure

    Open Access•Alfred G Cuzán•PS Political Science & Politics•2013

  • Forecasting Congressional Elections Using Facebook Data

    Open Access•Matthew C Macwilliams•PS Political Science & Politics•2015

  • Chancellor Model Picks Merkel in 2013 German Election

    Open Access•Helmut Norpoth, Thomas Gschwend•PS Political Science & Politics•2013

  • Using Online Search Traffic to Predict US Presidential Elections

    Open Access•Laura Granka•PS Political Science & Politics•2013

  • Weather, Elections, Forecasts

    Open Access•Michael S Lewis-Beck, Mary Stegmaier•PS Political Science & Politics•2014

  • A Predictive Test of Voters' Economic Benchmarking

    Mark Andreas Kayser, Mark Andreas Lindst Auml Dt Kayser et al.•German Politics•2016

  • Comparative election forecasting

    Open Access•Michael S Lewis-Beck, Ruth Dassonneville•Electoral Studies•2015

  • Networks, Contexts, and the Combinatorial Dynamics of Democratic Politics

    Open Access•Robert Huckfeldt•Political Psychology•2014

  • Political preferences nowcasting with factor analysis and internet data

    Open Access•Fabio Franch•Technological Forecasting and…•2021

  • Forecasting elections in Europe

    Open Access•Michael S Lewis-Beck, Ruth Dassonneville•Research & Politics•2015

  • Vintage errors

    Open Access•Mark Andreas Lindst Auml Dt Kayser, April Leininger•Research & Politics•2015

  • The cost of racial animus on a black candidate

    Open Access•Seth Stephens-Davidowitz•Journal of Public Economics•2014

  • System Effectsand the Problem of Prediction

    Jeffrey Friedman•Critical Review•2012

  • Elections in America

    Open Access•Larry M Bartels•The Annals of the American…•2016

  • Candidates and campaigns

    Open Access•Michael S Lewis-Beck, Charles Tien et al.•Electoral Studies•2018

  • The British general election

    Open Access•Michael S Lewis-Beck, Richard Nadeau et al.•Electoral Studies•2016

  • Forecasting Presidential Elections

    Steven J Rosenstone•Forecasting Presidential Elections•1983

  • The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President

    Ray C Fair•The Review of Economics and…•1978

  • The 2008 Campaign and the Forecasts Derailed

    Open Access•James E Campbell•PS Political Science & Politics•2009

  • The Exceptional Election of 2008

    Open Access•James E Campbell•Presidential Studies Quarterly•2010

  • Presidential Popularity and Presidential Elections

    Richard A Brody, Richard Brody et al.•Public Opinion Quarterly•1983

  • Presidential Popularity and Presidential Elections

    Lee Sigelman•Public Opinion Quarterly•1979

  • Why Does Presidential Popularity Decline? A Test of the Expectation/Disillusion Theory

    Lee Sigelman, Kelly Knight et al.•Public Opinion Quarterly•1983

  • Forecasting presidential elections

    Open Access•Michael S Lewis-Beck, Tom W Rice•Political Behavior•1984

Unique citing works26
Citations per year1,86
Citation span2012 - 2021 (10)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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