The Causes and Consequences of Arms Races
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6232859 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Charles L Glaser (University of Chicago, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2000 |
| Volume | 3 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 251-276 |
| Publication date | 2000-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Annual Review of Political Science (BOOK_SERIES) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1094-2939 • E-ISSN: 1545-1577 |
| Publisher | Annual Reviews (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1146/annurev.polisci.3.1.251 |
| OpenAlex | W2145896446 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 21 |
| References cited | 72 |
This chapter reviews the literature on causes of arms races, their consequences, and when a state should build up arms and engage in an arms race if necessary. The literature tends to equate external causes with threats; the chapter argues for a broader understanding that includes all causes of rational arming behavior. Internal causes of arms races are then understood to be factors within the state that lead it to adopt suboptimal policies. Although the causes and consequences of arms races are usually dealt with separately, in fact they are closely connected. When a state engages in an arms race because this is its best option, the state is acting rationally, the causes of the arms race are external, and the arms race has no consequences of its own. In contrast, when a state arms because domestic interests have distorted its policy, the arms race produces negative consequences. Research on the consequences of arms races has been hindered by the lack of a fully developed theory of when a state shouldrace; progress on defensive realism is helping to fill this gap
Arms race · Economics · International trade · Law and economics · Political economy · Political science · Race (biology · Small arms · Sociology · State (computer science · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · Gender Studies · Global Peace and Security Dynamics · International Relations and Foreign Policy
Libya
Can an arms race promote stability? The inter-Korean qualitative arms race and US extended deterrence
Uncertainty, Information, and Risk in International Technology Races
When Are Arms Races Dangerous? Rational versus Suboptimal Arming
Is a biological weapons arms race on the horizon
Deterrence under nuclear asymmetry
Emerging technologies and strategic stability in peacetime, crisis, and war
Wars, presidents, and punctuated equilibriums in US defense spending
Paying for Protection
The Determinants of Arms Spending in South America
Strategic insights from simulation gaming of AI race dynamics
Understanding Arms Race Onset
Introducing ICBe
Social Scientific Analysis of Nuclear Weapons
Uncertainty, Salient Stakes, and the Causes of Conventional Arms Races
Arms Racing in ‘Space
The Geopolitics of AI-Driven Arms Races
Asymmetric burden-sharing and the restraining and deterrence effects of alliances
Just part of the game? Arms races, rivalry, and war
Early warning signals for war in the news
Pax Asiatica versus Bella Levantina
The baroque arsenal
Principles of International Politics
In the Shadow of Power
Psychology and Deterrence
Optimal Imperfection?
The logic of images in international relations.
Deadly imbalances
The Evolution of Nuclear Strategy
Causes of War
Perception and Misperception in International Politics
Perception and Misperception in International Politics
Inventing accuracy
A Theory of Armament
Realists as Optimists
What Is the Offense-Defense Balance and How Can We Measure It
The Organizational Process and Bureaucratic Politics Paradigms
Bandwagoning for Profit
What is the Offense-Defense Balance and Can We Measure it
Bureaucratic politics and American foreign policy
Strategy and Arms Control
The Rise of the Anglo-German Antagonism 1860–1914
Arms races
Are Bureaucracies Important? (Or Allison Wonderland)
Myths of Empire
Do Bureaucratic Politics Matter? Some Disconfirming Findings from the Case of the U.S. Navy
Theory of international politics
On Stability in Deterrent Races
Cooperation under the Security Dilemma
Neoclassical Realism and Theories of Foreign Policy
Arms Races and Cooperation
Game Theory and the Spiral Model
The Security Dilemma Revisited
The Urge to Compete
The Arms Race Phenomenon
Declining Power and the Preventive Motivation for War
Political Consequences of Military Strategy
Messenger or Message
Military Buildups, War, and Realpolitik
Arms Races and Escalation
A Twist of Truth
Arms Races and Escalation
Threat-perception and the armament-tension dilemma
Some Persisting Findings
Can Arms Races Lead to the Outbreak of War
Armaments and Escalation
Arms Races?-And Escalation? A Comment on Wallace
Arms, Alliances, and Security Tradeoffs in Enduring Rivalries
Rationalist explanations for war
Arms versus allies
Domestic Politics, Foreign Policy, and Theories of International Relations
When Do Power Shifts Lead to War
Sheep in Sheep's clothing
Arms Races and Dispute Escalation
Arms Races and Escalation
Rethinking Allison's Models
Differential Paths to Parity
Guns, Butter, and Anarchy
Conflict, War, and Redistribution
Bureaucratic Politics in Foreign Policy
| Unique citing works | 21 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,95 |
| Citation span | 2004 - 2025 (22) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 21 |