Killing Kony
Leadership Change and Civil War Termination
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6285965 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Michael Tiernay (New York University—Politics, New York, NY, USA, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 59 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 175-206 |
| Publication date | 2015-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002713499720 |
| OpenAlex | W2139426636 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 21 |
| References cited | 49 |
Is there a relationship between leadership change and the probability of conflict termination in civil war? This article uses an original data set on the leaders of rebel groups combined with existing data on state leaders to determine whether leadership change in states or rebel groups affects the probability that a civil war will end. Three results emerge: (1) when the leader of a rebel group is captured or killed, wars are 398 percent more likely to end, (2) conflicts are less likely to end while rebel groups are being led by their founder, and (3) the leader of a state that presided over the beginning of the conflict is significantly more likely to bring the conflict to an end than a replacement leader. The results are robust to the use of matching techniques and other tests of endogeneity
Econometrics · Economics · Endogeneity · International conflict · Matching (statistics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Set (abstract data type · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · State (computer science · Statistics · Computer Science · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
The impact of coups d’état on civil war duration
The Wartime Origins of Democratization
Parents of the revolution rebel leaders’ intergenerational social capital and insurgency cohesion
A Motion of No Confidence
The Politics of Risking Peace Revisited
Fractured Brotherhoods
The transformation of targeted killing and international order
Minerals as a refuge from conflict
Lasting peace or temporary calm? Rebel group decapitation and civil war outcomes
Changing horses in midstream
Too central to fail? Terror networks and leadership decapitation
Fighting for Peace? The Direct and Indirect Effects of Women’s Participation in Rebel Groups on Peace Negotiations
Led Astray
Dovish Hawks
Friends in the Profession
Leader Incentives and Civil War Outcomes
Understanding women at war
Trained to rebel
Conflict negotiations and rebel leader selection
The impact of criminal prosecutions during intrastate conflict
Introducing a new dataset on leadership change in rebel groups, 1946-2010
Just and Unjust Wars
Punishing the Prince
War and Punishment
Diamonds Are Forever, Wars Are Not
The Logic of Political Survival
Civil War
Event History Modeling
The Shape of Things to Come? On the Dynamics of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings
Do UN Interventions Cause Peace? Using Matching to Improve Causal Inference
Do Targeted Assassinations Work? A Multivariate Analysis of Israel's Controversial Tactic during Al-Aqsa Uprising 1
Explaining Israel's Misuse of Strategic Assassinations
The ABCs of HVT
How al-Qaida Ends
Targeting Top Terrorists
Does Decapitation Work? Assessing the Effectiveness of Leadership Targeting in Counterinsurgency Campaigns
Organizational perspectives on the formation and disintegration of terrorist groups
Just and Unjust Wars
Targeted Killings in Afghanistan
Change Comes with Time
Matching as Nonparametric Preprocessing for Reducing Model Dependence in Parametric Causal Inference
Peace through Insecurity
It Takes Two
Nonproportional Hazards and Event History Analysis in International Relations
The Equifinality of War Termination
Fighting for Survival
A Competing Risks Model of War Termination and Leader Change1
Information, Uncertainty, and the Decision to Secede
Veto Players and Civil War Duration
Conflict, Agency, and Gambling for Resurrection
Selection Bias and Continuous‐Time Duration Models
International Conflict and the Tenure of Leaders
Leader Survival, Revolutions, and the Nature of Government Finance
When Heads Roll
Domestic Audience Costs in International Relations
War and the Survival of Political Leaders
Armed conflict, 1946-2010
Assassinations
Third-Party Intervention and the Civil War Process
Introducing Archigos
Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Much Longer than Others
Introducing Acled
The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism
International Crises and Domestic Politics
War and the Fate of Regimes
Do Targeted Killings Work
Civil Wars Kill and Maim People-Long After the Shooting Stops
The Decider's Dilemma
| Unique citing works | 21 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,91 |
| Citation span | 2015 - 2026 (12) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 21 |