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Hunger to Violence

Explaining the Violent Escalation of Nonviolent Demonstrations

Bibliographic Data

ID6286145
AuthorsDaniel Gustafson (0000-0003-1915-5478, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume64
Issue6
Pages1121-1145
Publication date2020-07-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002719890669
OpenAlexW2565593083
LanguageEN
Citations received16
References cited57

Under what conditions do nonviolent demonstrations escalate to violence? I answer this question using a novel theory of individual impatience in protests that begin peacefully. Rather than considering protest groups as unitary actors, I present a theory of collective action in which a group’s decision over whether or not to engage in anti-government violence is the product of individual preferences. Individuals involved in a nonviolent demonstration use the immediacy of their needs and the sustainability of collective action to decide whether or not to initiate violence against the state. Specifically, I hypothesize that the likelihood of violent escalation will increase when the food price increases and unemployment rate is high or when the event is spontaneous. Analysis of a Bayesian multilevel model of 2,405 nonviolent demonstrations from 1991 to 2017 in Africa and Latin America supports my expectations

Action (physics · Collective action · Criminology · Economics · Harm · Immediacy · Political science · Politics · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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Unique citing works16
Citations per year2,67
Citation span2020 - 2027 (8)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 15

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