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Collective risk social dilemma and the consequences of the US withdrawal from international climate negotiations

Bibliographic Data

ID6299243
AuthorsOleg Smirnov (0000-0002-9633-910X, Stony Brook University, corresponding author)
Year2019
Volume31
Issue4
Pages660-676
Publication date2019-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Theoretical Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0951-6298 • E-ISSN: 1460-3667
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0951629819875511
OpenAlexW2974173807
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited23

International climate negotiations represent an interesting theoretical problem, which can be analyzed as a collective risk social dilemma as well as an n-person bargaining model. The problem is made more complicated by politics due to the differences between: (1) total and per capita emissions; and (2) present-day and cumulative emissions. Here, we use a game theoretic approach in conjunction with the literature on effort-sharing approaches to study a model of climate negotiations based on empirical emissions data. We introduce a ‘fair equilibrium’ bargaining solution and examine the consequences of the United States’ withdrawal from the Paris Agreement. Our results suggest that the collective goal can still be reached but that this requires additional greenhouse gas emissions cuts from other countries, notably, China and India. Given the history of climate negotiations, it is unclear if these countries will have sufficient political will to accept the additional costs created by the US defection

Climate change · Dilemma · Economics · Game theory · Global warming · Greenhouse gas · Microeconomics · Negotiation · Per capita · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies · Law

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,25
Citation span2022 - 2022 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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