Coalition Prospects and Policy Change
An Application to the Environment
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6301204 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Mark A Kayser, Mark Andreas Lindst Auml Dt Kayser (0000-0001-6195-405X, Hertie School of Governance), Jochen Rehmert (0000-0003-1225-1512, Humboldt University of Berlin) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 46 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 219-246 |
| Publication date | 2021-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Legislative Studies Quarterly (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0362-9805 • E-ISSN: 1939-9162 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/lsq.12273 |
| OpenAlex | W3006163654 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 13 |
| References cited | 43 |
In most developed democracies, parties adjust their positions to polls and public opinion. Yet, in a coalition government, the policy that emerges is often the outcome of negotiations between governing parties. We argue that the credibility of exit threats by current coalition members and the importance of outside parties for the formation of potential alternative coalitions both matter for policy adoption. Building on a new data set measuring the expected coalition‐inclusion probabilities of parties in parliamentary democracies, we estimate the effect of coalition prospects on an important policy outcome—environmental policy stringency—in nine European countries between 1990 and 2012. Our findings demonstrate that only polling shifts that alter coalition probabilities affect outcomes. Changes in the coalition‐inclusion probability of green parties—regardless of whether they are in government—predict changes in the environmental policy stringency of sitting governments. Political polls, in contrast, do not
Credibility · Democracy · Economics · Government (linguistics · Inclusion (mineral · Microeconomics · Multi-party system · Negotiation · Outcome (game theory · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Polling · Public economics · Sociology · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Policy Transfer and Learning · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies · Public Administration
Policy as a Bargaining Outcome
How party ideology and constituency risk shape MPs’ speeches on climate change
Come Together, Right Now
Turn to the right, turn away from the green?—A nuanced analysis on how a populist radical right party affects environmental policy making in Sweden
Unpacking the green box
Diverging Like-Mindedness? Development Policy Among the Nordics
Explaining differences in party reactions to the Fridays for Future -movement – a qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) of parties in three European countries
Coalition Mood in European Parliamentary Democracies
Do Parties Matter for Environmental Policy Stringency? Exploring the Program-to-Policy Link for Environmental Issues in 28 Countries 1990–2015
Coalition inclusion probabilities
Legislative Scholars Should Study Extralegislative Outcomes
Green Party Entry and Conservative Backlash
The manifestation of the green agenda
Governing the Commons
Making and Breaking Governments
Party Competition between Unequals
Multiparty Government
Anti-Political Establishment Parties
Political internalization of economic externalities and environmental policy
Mass support for global climate agreements depends on institutional design
Public Opinion and Public Policy
Environmentalism, democracy, and pollution control
Veto Players
The influence of institutions, governance, and public opinion on the environment
The Manifesto Corpus
Are left-wing party strength and corporatism good for the environment? Evidence from panel analysis of air pollution in OECD countries
The Comparative Politics of Transnational Climate Governance
Dodgy Kebabs Everywhere? Variety of Worldviews and Regulatory Change
Measuring party positions in Europe
German exceptionalism
Environmental public opinion in U.S. states, 1973–2012
The effects of the Fukushima disaster on nuclear energy debates and policies
Aspects of Coalition Payoffs in European Parliamentary Democracies
Congruence between Citizens and Policymakers in Two Visions of Liberal Democracy
The Broad Impact of a Narrow Conflict
A Cross-National Measure of Electoral Competitiveness
The Regime Complex for Climate Change
Measuring Parties’ Ideological Positions With Manifesto Data
Institutions, Veto Points, and Policy Results
The distribution of individual cabinet positions in coalition governments
Re‐evaluating the relationship between electoral rules and ideological congruence
Who gets what in coalition governments? Predictors of portfolio allocation in parliamentary democracies
How electoral vulnerability affects pension politics
Do parties matter in internationalised policy areas? The impact of political parties on environmental policy outputs in 18 OECD countries, 1970–2000
The Public as Thermostat
Punctuated Equilibrium in Comparative Perspective
Dissolution Threats and Legislative Bargaining
The Responsive Legislature
A Theory of Coalition Formation
Coalition Termination and the Strategic Timing of Parliamentary Elections
Cabinet Terminations and Critical Events
Dynamic Representation
| Unique citing works | 13 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,6 |
| Citation span | 2021 - 2026 (6) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 12 |