Time-dependent legislative behavior and election outcomes
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6316136 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Lauren M Rowlands, Ryan J Vander Wielen (0000-0001-7755-6531, Temple University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 27 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 565-580 |
| Publication date | 2021-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Party Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1354-0688 • E-ISSN: 1460-3683 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/1354068819868059 |
| OpenAlex | W4251553660 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 4 |
| References cited | 74 |
Previous studies find that legislators who adopt a partisan voting record are penalized come election time. To date, these studies examine the electoral effects of aggregate legislative behavior. While useful for identifying macro-level relationships, this approach discards valuable information about the timing of elite partisanship that contributes to a more nuanced understanding of the interplay between legislative behavior and election outcomes. After all, studies find that recent elite behavior tends to factor more prominently in voters’ decision calculus. We offer a model that more explicitly accounts for the timing of elite partisanship, and we test it using US House elections data from 1956 to 2004. Even when accounting for aggregate party voting, we find that electoral success is significantly dependent on the temporal patterns of members’ party loyalty as elections approach. We attribute this, in part, to voters paying disproportionate attention to legislative activity around elections
Aggregate (composite · Economics · Elite · Legislature · Loyalty · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Turnout · Voting · Voting behavior · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies
Parties and Leaders in the Postreform House
Congressmen's Voting Decisions
Ideology and Spatial Voting in American Elections
Competing Principals
Setting the Agenda
In Time of War
Why Parties?
Candidates with policy preferences
A Simple Feasible Procedure to fit Models with High-dimensional Fixed Effects
Revolving Door Lobbyists
The Apparent Ideological Behavior of Legislators
Using Credible Advice to Overcome Framing Effects
The Graphical Presentation of a Collection of Means
Extracting meaning from past affective experiences
An economic theory of democracy
Reasoning and Choice
Strategy, Selection, and Candidate Competition in U.S. House and Senate Elections
Ideological Change in the U. S. Senate
Changing minds? Not in Congress
Legislative committees as loyalty-generating institutions
Timely shirking
Congress, The Electoral Connection
The Political Economy of Benefits and Costs
On the Rationale of Group Decision-making
Using full matching to estimate causal effects in nonexperimental studies
The Dimensions of Cue-Taking in the House of Representatives
Social psychology, demographic variables, and linear regression
Measuring variations in party unity voting
The Iraq War, Partisanship, and Candidate Attributes
Adaptive behaviour in the European Parliament
Ideological Polarization and the Vanishing of Marginals
Position-Taking and Electoral Accountability in the U.S. House of Representatives
Eschewing Obfuscation? Campaigns and the Perception of U.S. Senate Incumbents
Peasants or Bankers? The American Electorate and the U.S. Economy
Strategic Politicians and the Dynamics of U.S. House Elections, 1946–86
Candidate Valence and Ideological Positions in U.S. House Elections
Candidate Positioning in U.S. House Elections
Representation in Congress
Ideology and the US Congressional Vote
Does It Really Hurt to Be Out of Step
Beyond the Running Tally
Matching as Nonparametric Preprocessing for Reducing Model Dependence in Parametric Causal Inference
Anchors Away
Redistricting, Responsiveness, and Issue Attention
The Downsian Model Predicts Divergence
Do voters reward rebellion? The electoral accountability of MPs in Britain
Rational Learning and Partisan Attitudes
Election Proximity and Senatorial Roll Call Voting
Robustness of the Multidimensional Voting Model
Competitiveness of Senate Seats and Voting Behavior in Senate Elections
Substituting the End for the Whole
The Senate Electoral Cycle and Bicameral Appropriations Politics
The Electoral Costs of Party Loyalty in Congress
Dynamic Elite Partisanship
Duration neglect in retrospective evaluations of affective episodes
One Vote Out of Step? The Effects of Salient Roll Call Votes in the 2010 Election
New Perspectives and Evidence on Political Communication and Campaign Effects
Vote-earning strategies in flexible list systems
The 1994 House Elections in Perspective
Congressional Voting over Legislative Careers
Spatial Voting in the 2004 Presidential Election
Sources of Bias in Retrospective Decision Making
Party Contributions and Party Unity
Out of Step, Out of Office
A Directional Theory of Issue Voting
| Unique citing works | 4 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1 |
| Citation span | 2022 - 2025 (4) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 4 |