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The Sophomore Surge

Conversion, Mobilization, or Abstention

Bibliographic Data

ID6340635
AuthorsBrad Lockerbie (0000-0003-4761-7019, University of Georgia, corresponding author)
Year1994
Volume47
Issue4
Pages961-968
Publication date1994-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePolitical Research Quarterly (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1065-9129 • E-ISSN: 1938-274X
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/106591299404700411
OpenAlexW2016118959
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited13

The incumbency advantage and its cause(s) is a question that political scientists have addressed for several years. This article looks at one piece of the puzzle: the sophomore surge. Using the American National Election Panel Studies of 1956-1960 and 1972-1976, I examine three possible scenarios for the sophomore surge: conversion, mobilization, and absten tion. The evidence presented herein supports the argument that first-term incumbents are able to win the votes of those who had supported the losing candidate in the previous election. It would appear that the source of the incumbency advantage is what the incumbents do in office, not the actions of their potential opponents

Argument (complex analysis · Economics · Mobilization · Political economy · Political mobilization · Political science · Politics · Surge · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Engineering · Law · Populism, Right-Wing Movements · Social Policy and Reform Studies

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Unique citing works6
Citations per year0,21
Citation span1998 - 2024 (27)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6

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