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The Causal Effect of Candidate Extremity on Citizens’ Preferences

Evidence from Conjoint Experiments

Bibliographic Data

ID6367333
AuthorsEran Amsalem (0000-0002-3135-9775, Department of Communication, Hebrew University of Jerusalem Assistant Professor, , Jerusalem), Alon Zoizner (0000-0001-5574-3475, Department of Communication, University of Haifa Assistant Professor, , Haifa)
Year2024
Volume88
Issue3
Pages859-885
Publication date2024-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePublic Opinion Quarterly (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0033-362X • E-ISSN: 1537-5331
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1093/poq/nfae041
OpenAlexW4403681503
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited86

Previous studies demonstrate that politicians’ issue positions and rhetorical style have grown increasingly extreme. It remains unclear, however, whether extremity pays off electorally. Using two preregistered conjoint experiments conducted in the United States (N = 2,006) and Israel (N = 1,999), we investigate whether citizens reward or penalize candidates for taking extreme positions (i.e., proposing radical solutions to societal problems) and using an extreme rhetorical style (i.e., communicating in a way that signals rigidity and dogmatism). The results are consistent in showing that extremity is costly for candidates. Across countries, citizens penalize both in-party and out-party candidates for both extreme positions and an extreme rhetorical style, and the average penalty for being extreme is a 16-percentage-point decrease in candidate support. Our results are in line with scholarship demonstrating that citizens disapprove of elite extremity. They also indicate that citizens react independently to elites’ substantive policy positions and their communication style

Conjoint analysis · Econometrics · Economics · Microeconomics · Positive economics · Preference · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Economic and Environmental Valuation · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works5
Citations per year5
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 5

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