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Response to Martin and Vanberg

Evaluating a Stochastic Model of Government Formation

Bibliographic Data

ID7410352
AuthorsMatt Golder (0000-0002-5006-1368, Pennsylvania State University), Sona N Golder (0000-0003-2259-2943, Pennsylvania State University), David A Siegel (0000-0003-1619-6119, Duke University)
Year2014
Volume76
Issue4
Pages880-886
Publication date2014-09-05
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Journal of Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3816 • E-ISSN: 1468-2508
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1017/s002238161400053x
OpenAlexW2103860432
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited14

In a 2012 Journal of Politics article, we presented a zero-intelligence model of government formation. Our intent was to provide a “null” model of government formation, a baseline upon which other models could build. We made two claims regarding aggregate government formation outcomes: first, that our model produces aggregate results on the distributions of government types, cabinet portfolios, and bargaining delays in government formation that compare favorably to those in the real world; and second, that these aggregate distributions vary in theoretically intuitive ways as the model parameters change. In this issue, Martin and Vanberg (MV) criticize our model on theoretical and empirical grounds. Here we not only show how MV’s evaluation of our model is flawed, but we also illustrate, using an analogy to common statistical practice, how one might properly attempt to falsify stochastic models such as ours at both the individual and the aggregate level

Aggregate (composite · Analogy · Baseline (sea · Econometrics · Economics · Epistemology · Government (linguistics · Mathematical economics · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Game Theory and Voting Systems · Law

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    Open Access•Paul Warwick, Paul V Warwick•Political Science Research and…•2019

  • Negotiation in legislatures over government formation

    Open Access•Michael Laver, Scott De Marchi et al.•Public Choice•2011

  • Bargaining and Majority Rules

    Olivier Compte, Philippe Jehiel•Journal of Political Economy•2010

  • Allocative Efficiency of Markets with Zero-Intelligence Traders

    Dhananjay K Gode, Shyam Sunder•Journal of Political Economy•1993

  • Modeling the Institutional Foundation of Parliamentary Government Formation

    Matt Golder, Sona N Golder et al.•The Journal of Politics•2012

  • A Step in the Wrong Direction

    Leonard W Martins, Lanny W Martins et al.•The Journal of Politics•2014

  • New Empirical Strategies for the Study of Parliamentary Government Formation

    Open Access•George Glasgow, Garrett Glasgow et al.•Political Analysis•2012

  • The portfolio allocation paradox

    Open Access•Paul Warwick, Paul V Warwick et al.•European Journal of Political…•2006

  • Bargaining Delays in the Government Formation Process

    Open Access•Sona N Golder•Comparative Political Studies•2010

  • Government Formation in Parliamentary Democracies

    Leonard W Martins, Lanny W Martins et al.•American Journal of Political…•2001

  • Social Networks and Collective Action

    Open Access•David A Siegel•American Journal of Political…•2009

  • Who “Wins”? Determining the Party of the Prime Minister

    Open Access•George Glasgow, Garrett Glasgow et al.•American Journal of Political…•2011

  • A New Approach to the Study of Parties Entering Government

    Open Access•George Glasgow, Garrett Glasgow et al.•British Journal of Political…•2015

  • Portfolio Allocation and the Vote of No Confidence

    Open Access•Sona N Golder, Jacquelyn A Thomas•British Journal of Political…•2014

  • The Conditional Impact of Incumbency on Government Formation

    Open Access•Leonard W Martins, Lanny W Martins et al.•American Political Science Review•2010

Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,14
Citation span2019 - 2019 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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