Lee-Carter mortality forecasting
A Multi-Country Comparison of Variants and Extensions
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 7743897 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Heather Booth (0000-0002-8356-0534, Australian National University), Rob Hyndman, Rob J Hyndman (0000-0002-2140-5352, Monash University), Leonie Tickle (0000-0002-2406-6296, Macquarie University), Piet de Jong (0000-0002-8426-1886, Macquarie University) |
| Year | 2006 |
| Volume | 15 |
| Pages | 289-310 |
| Publication date | 2006-10-20 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Demographic Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1435-9871 • E-ISSN: 2363-7064 |
| Publisher | Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (PUBLISHER • DE) |
| DOI | 10.4054/demres.2006.15.9 |
| OpenAlex | W2134747174 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 33 |
| References cited | 25 |
We compare the short- to medium-term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality forecasting. These include the original Lee-Carter, the Lee-Miller and Booth-Maindonald-Smith variants, and the more flexible Hyndman-Ul
Biology · Econometrics · Life expectancy · Miller · Population · Sociology · Statistics · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Health disparities and outcomes · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics
The contribution of forecast uncertainty to lifespan uncertainty
The effect of marital status on life expectancy
A Practitioner-Oriented Evaluation of Mortality Forecasting Methods
Estimación y proyección de la mortalidad para Costa Rica con la aplicación del método Lee-Carter con dos variantes
Multi-population models to handle mortality crises in forecasting mortality
Do Different Models Induce Changes in Mortality Indicators? That Is a Key Question for Extending the Lee-Carter Model
Demographic winter
Spatial and temporal changes in population distribution and population projection at county level in China
Living longer in high longevity risk
Forecasting mortality rates
Point and interval forecasts of age-specific fertility rates
Future life expectancy in Australia, Europe, Japan and North America
Unexpected longevity, intergenerational policies, and fertility
A Probabilistic Cohort-Component Model for Population Forecasting – The Case of Germany
Annuity-Based Assessment of Uncertainty in Mortality
Under-5 Mortality Rates in G7 Countries
Modeling and Forecasting Healthy Life Expectancy With Compositional Data Analysis
Lifespan Disparity as an Additional Indicator for Evaluating Mortality Forecasts
Including the Smoking Epidemic in Internationally Coherent Mortality Projections
Stochastic Population Forecasting Based on Combinations of Expert Evaluations Within the Bayesian Paradigm
Modeling and Forecasting Mortality With Economic Growth
Optimizing the Lee-Carter Approach in the Presence of Structural Changes in Time and Age Patterns of Mortality Improvements
Coherent Mortality Forecasting
A modified Lee-Carter model for analysing short-base-period data
A modal age at death approach to forecasting adult mortality
Statistically tested comparisons of the accuracy of forecasting methods for age-specific and sex-specific mortality and life expectancy
What have we learned about mortality patterns over the past 25 years
Mortality modelling with arrival of additional year of mortality data
Coherent forecasts of mortality with compositional data analysis
Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy
The impact of the choice of life table statistics when forecasting mortality
Impact of different mortality forecasting methods and explicit assumptions on projected future life expectancy
Point and interval forecasts of age-specific life expectancies
Functional Data Analysis
Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter
A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries
Demographic forecasting
Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality
Long-range trends in adult mortality
Evaluating the performance of the lee-carter method for forecasting mortality
Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline
| Unique citing works | 33 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,74 |
| Citation span | 2007 - 2026 (20) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 28 |