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Effects of Exposure on Prevalence and Cumulative Relative Risk

Direct and Indirect Effects in a Recursive Hazard Model

Bibliographic Data

ID8019776
AuthorsLawrence Wu (0000-0003-2301-5136, New York University), Steven P Martins, Steven P Martin (University of Maryland, College Park)
Year2009
Volume39
Issue1
Pages185-232
Publication date2009-06-25
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSociological Methodology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0081-1750 • E-ISSN: 1467-9531
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1111/j.1467-9531.2009.01212.x
PMID20717494
PMCIDPMC2921856
OpenAlexW2120437630
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited18

This paper outlines decomposition methods for assessing how exposure affects prevalence and cumulative relative risk. Let x denote a vector of exogenous covariates and suppose that a single dimension of time t governs two event processes T 1 and T 2 . If the occurrence of the event T 1 determines entry into the risk of the event T 2 , then subgroup variation in T 1 will affect the prevalence T 2 , even if subgroups in the population are otherwise identical. Although researchers often acknowledge this phenomenon, the literature has not provided procedures to assess the magnitude of an exposure effect of T 1 on the prevalence of T 2 . We derive decompositions that assess how variation in exposure generated by direct and indirect effects of the covariates x affect measures of absolute and relative prevalence of T 2 . We employ a parametric but highly flexible specification for baseline hazard for the T 1 and T 2 processes and use the resulting parametric proportional hazard model to illustrate the direct and indirect effects of family structure when T 1 is age at first sexual intercourse and T 2 is age at a premarital first birth for data on a cohort of non-hispanic white U.S. women

Confidence interval · Covariate · Econometrics · Event (particle physics · Population · Proportional hazards model · Relative risk · Statistics · Demography · Health disparities and outcomes · Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies · Mathematics · Medicine · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies

  • Fertility of Single and Cohabiting Women

    Open Access•Lawrence L Wu, Lawrence Wu•International Encyclopedia of the…•2015

  • Racial and Ethnic Variation in the Relationship Between Student Loan Debt and the Transition to First Birth

    Open Access•Stella Min, Michael G Taylor et al.•Demography•2018

  • Cohort Trends in Premarital First Births

    Open Access•P England, Lawrence Wu et al.•Demography•2013

  • Premarital first births

    Lawrence L Wu, Lawrence Wu et al.•Population Studies•2015

  • Understanding Generational Differences in Early Fertility

    Open Access•Rachel E Goldberg, Rachel Goldberg•Journal of Marriage and the Family•2018

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  • Local Hazard Models

    Lawrence L Wu, Lawrence Wu et al.•Sociological Methodology•1990

  • Issues in Smoothing Empirical Hazard Rates

    Lawrence L Wu, Lawrence Wu•Sociological Methodology•1989

  • A decomposition of trends in the nonmarital fertility ratios of blacks and whites in the united states, 1960–1992

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  • Regression Models with Ordinal Variables

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  • Rewards, Resources, and the Rate of Mobility

    Nancy Brandon Tuma•American Sociological Review•1976

  • Family Structure and the Risk of a Premarital Birth

    Lawrence L Wu, Lawrence Wu et al.•American Sociological Review•1993

  • Parental Divorce during Childhood

    Kathleen E Kiernan, Kathleen Kiernan et al.•Population Studies•1997

  • Income and Independence Effects on Marital Dissolution

    Michael T Hannan, Nancy Brandon Tuma et al.•American Journal of Sociology•1978

Unique citing works5
Citations per year0,38
Citation span2013 - 2018 (6)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 5

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