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On the Relationship of Past to Future Participation in Delinquency

Bibliographic Data

ID9679705
AuthorsDaniel S Nagin (0000-0003-0075-1851, Carnegie Mellon University, corresponding author), Raymond Paternoster (0000-0002-6435-4962, University of Maryland, College Park)
Year1991
Volume29
Issue2
Pages163-189
Publication date1991-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueCriminology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0011-1384 • E-ISSN: 1745-9125
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1745-9125.1991.tb01063.x
OpenAlexW1991670169
LanguageEN
Citations received136
References cited53

Among the best documented empirical regularities in criminology is the positive association between past and future delinquency and criminality. In this paper, we examine alternative interpretations of this association. One is that prior participation has a genuine behavioral impact on the individual. Prior participation may, for example, reduce inhibitions against engaging in delinquent activity. Such an effect is termed state dependence. A second explanation is that individuals differ in unmeasured delinquent propensity and this unmeasured propensity is persistent over time. This second explanation is a consequence of population heterogeneity. Using a three‐wave panel data set, we attempt to distinguish these two interpretations of the positive association between past and future delinquency. Our results suggest that the positive association is principally due to a state‐dependent influence. Theoretical implications and directions for future research are also discussed

Association (psychology · Criminology · Juvenile delinquency · Population · Set (abstract data type · Sociology · Computer Science · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Demography · Psychology · Wildlife Conservation and Criminology Analyses

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Unique citing works136
Citations per year4
Citation span1992 - 2026 (35)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 135

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