Matrix purpose in scenario planning

Implications of congruence with scenario project purpose

Bibliographic Data

ID9843631
AuthorsAdam Vigdor Gordon (0000-0002-6592-295X, Aarhus University, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume115
Pages102479
Publication date2020-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFutures (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.futures.2019.102479
OpenAlexW2983197889
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited36

This research seeks to improve success of scenario planning by showing the effects of congruence between the scenario planning purpose of the sponsoring organization, here called the scenario project purpose, and purpose created as product of (intuitive-logics) scenario matrix choices, here called scenario matrix purpose. Congruence between project purpose and matrix purpose is shown to facilitate scenario relevance to and use by the organization. Lack of congruence has the opposite effect. In this, the paper isolates a particular source of scenario formulation error, and so advances understanding of conditions that contribute to scenario project success. The findings are derived and illustrated from research into 13 scenario projects

Business · Congruence (geometry · Management science · Matrix (chemical analysis · Operations research · Process management · Scenario analysis · Statistics · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Computer Science · Engineering · Leadership, Behavior, and Decision-Making Studies · Mathematics · Psychology · Social Psychology

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