An integrated framework for anticipating the future and dealing with uncertainty in policymaking
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 9846360 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Cornelis van Dorsser (0000-0003-1134-707X, Delft University of Technology, corresponding author), P Taneja (0000-0002-0221-9829, Delft University of Technology), Warren E Walker (0000-0003-3599-0756, Delft University of Technology), Warren Walker, Vincent Marchau (0000-0002-8512-2386, Radboud University Nijmegen) |
| Year | 2020 |
| Volume | 124 |
| Pages | 102594 |
| Publication date | 2020-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.futures.2020.102594 |
| OpenAlex | W3034899680 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 12 |
| References cited | 23 |
Policymakers need to make policies for an uncertain future, and policy analysts assist policymakers in choosing preferred courses of action. Despite a longstanding recognition that the futures field can contribute a great deal to policy analysis, futures work is not used to its full potential as an element of policy analysis. This is partly due to an absence of well-defined links between the fields and a common unambiguous typology. This paper proposes a framework for linking policy analysis, policymaking, and the futures field so that they can benefit mutually from a shared approach and tools. This integrated framework is intended to guide policy analysts on the appropriate use of futures approaches so that they can improve their analyses and contribute to better policies. At the same time, futures practitioners will be encouraged to align their approaches with the needs of policy analysts, thereby leading to increased uptake of futures work in policy analysis
Action (physics · Business · Economics · Field (mathematics · Futures contract · Futures studies · Management science · Policy analysis · Political science · Public economics · Risk analysis (engineering · Sociology · Typology · Work (physics · Artificial Intelligence · Capital Investment and Risk Analysis · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Computer Science · Engineering · Finance · Public Administration
Leveraging U.S. Climate Assessment Research Gaps to Inform Science Innovation
Making and Using Futures
Four Alternative Scenarios of Commons in Space
Confronting sustainable intensification with uncertainty and extreme values on smallholder tropical farms
Storylistening
A robust decision-making approach in climate policy design for possible net zero futures
The uncertainty in mega-regional SEA and its coping methods in China's practice
Co-creating climate future pathways for northwestern Ghana
Re-thinking the role of exploratory scenarios for adaptive policymaking
Applying foresight to policy agenda-setting
Energy futures as societal futures
Participatory utopian sketching
Shaping the Next One Hundred Years
Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty
Addressing deep uncertainty using adaptive policies
Thinking inside the box
Adaptive policies, policy analysis, and policy-making
Adapt or Perish
Scenarios
Dynamic adaptive policy pathways
Foresight and long-term policy-making
To govern is to foresee
Improving the link between the futures field and policymaking
Barriers and levers to future exploration in practice experiences in policy-making
A scenario discovery study of the impact of uncertainties in the global container transport system on European ports
Beyond use
| Unique citing works | 12 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,4 |
| Citation span | 2021 - 2025 (5) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 12 |