Moral Hazard or State Capacity? U.S. Military Assistance and Political Violence in Pakistan
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 10071753 |
|---|---|
| Authors | ShahBano Ijaz (0000-0001-7981-889X, Occidental College, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Publication date | 2025-07-27 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1177/00220027251361656 |
| OpenAlex | W4412682638 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 31 |
Does U.S. military assistance affect domestic patterns of political violence? Military aid can improve the recipient country’s military capacity, but also create an incentive for prolonging conflict to secure future assistance. This moral hazard can manifest by geographically displacing conflict away from military strongholds while demonstrating an aggregate country-wide decrease in levels of violence. I analyze U.S. military assistance to Pakistan and find that aid can decrease the aggregate level of political violence in the short run. However, this short-run decrease is accompanied by a displacement of violence away from military headquarters. The discontinuity created by the sudden withdrawal of U.S. military assistance after Pakistan’s nuclear program, followed by its resumption post-9/11, lends causal purchase to my results, as does the historical location of military headquarters that were established by colonizers and have persisted in post-independence Pakistan
Criminology · Economics · Hazard · Moral hazard · Political economy · Political science · Political violence · Politics · Sociology · State (computer science · Law · Peacebuilding and International Security · Political Conflict and Governance · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East
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| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |