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Signaling Strength Through Power Sharing

Bibliographic Data

ID10071767
AuthorsJacque Gao (0000-0002-1118-7574, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen), Marton Szabo (0000-0002-3233-7797, Budapest University of Technology and Economics)
Year2025
Volume70
Issue2-3
Pages310-329
Publication date2025-06-27
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/00220027251355757
OpenAlexW4411738456
LanguageEN
References cited34

This article develops a new theory of how a strong target regime can (partially) deter a sender from imposing sanctions over major issues. We develop a formal theoretic framework to show that, following a sender’s sanction threat, a strong target regime can signal its strength by deliberately weakening itself through always sharing power with a domestic opposition, while a weak target regime mixes between sharing and not sharing power with the opposition. The strategy offers the sender a better assessment of a target’s strength, enabling it to adjust its sanction policy accordingly and avoid the costs of a potentially ineffective sanction over a strong target regime. As a result, a strong target regime will be sanctioned with a lower probability than a weak one

Business · Physics · Political science · Power (physics · Power sharing · Economic Sanctions and International Relations · Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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