The effects of ethnic conflict and foreign fighters on conflict duration
A statistical analysis
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 21620182 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Oğuzhan Pehlivan (0000-0002-6779-4699), Y Gokmen (0000-0002-6107-0577, Başkent University) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 34 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 598-622 |
| Publication date | 2023-04-28 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Journal of Conflict Management (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1044-4068 • E-ISSN: 1758-8545 |
| Publisher | Emerald (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1108/ijcma-02-2023-0032 |
| OpenAlex | W4361284798 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 55 |
Purpose Foreign fighters (FFs) appeared in at least approximately one-fourth of conflicts over the past 200 years. This study aims to reveal the impact of FFs in conflicts, whether they resolve the conflict faster or they drag out the conflict, and investigate the single and simultaneous impacts of ethnic conflict (EC) and FFs on conflict duration (CD). Design/methodology/approach The data set consisting of 352 conflicts from 1818 to 2022 was collected from different sources. Logarithmic Linear Regression with Dummy Variables and the Cox Regression models were used to check the hypotheses. Findings One of the key findings of this analysis is that the use of FFs extends the duration of conflicts. Similarly, conflicts involving EC increase CD. Additionally, the simultaneous effect of FFs and EC together increases the CD much more, and it is noted CD significantly varies regionally. Research limitations/implications As this study focused on the factors that affect the duration of the conflict in the hypotheses, the findings only can contribute to explaining the duration rather than factors such as the number of casualties and economic losses. The authors believe that policy and key decision-makers can benefit from the results and think twice before deciding to use FFs in conflicts. Originality/value This study offers a separate and simultaneous effect of EC and FFs on CD, which provides some empirical contributions to conflict management by filling the gap in this area
Conflict resolution · Conflict resolution research · Econometrics · Economics · Ethnic conflict · Ethnic group · Originality · Political science · Regression analysis · Statistics · Computer Science · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Law · Mathematics · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
Ethnicity and Conflict
Africa's Growth Tragedy
Regression Models and Life-Tables
Social Psychology of Intergroup Relations
The “Problems of Mobilization” and the Analysis of Armed Groups
Greed and grievance in civil war
The impact of foreign fighters on civil conflict outcomes
Targeting and Resistance
The Psychology of Foreign Fighters
Foreign Fighters and Transnational Jihad in Syria
Driving Factors behind Foreign Fighters in Syria and Iraq
Social Identity Group and Human (In)Security
The Macroeconomic Consequences of Mixing Sunnis and Shias
Symbolic Politics or Rational Choice? Testing Theories of Extreme Ethnic Violence
The Rise of Muslim Foreign Fighters
Helping or hurting? The impact of foreign fighters on militant group behavior
Why Foreign Fighters
Foreign Fighters—Recent Trends
Should I Stay or Should I Go? Explaining Variation in Western Jihadists' Choice between Domestic and Foreign Fighting
Ethnicity, the State, and the Duration of Civil War
Culture or Contiguity
Diplomacy and Other Forms of Intervention in Civil Wars
Civil Conflicts Abroad, Foreign Fighters, and Terrorism at Home
Firewall? or Wall on Fire? A Unified Framework of Conflict Contagion and the Role of Ethnic Exclusion
On the Duration and Sustainability of Transnational Terrorist Organizations
The Indirect Effect of Ethnic Heterogeneity on the Likelihood of Civil War Onset
Geography, Rebel Capability, and the Duration of Civil Conflict
Do Ethnic and Nonethnic Civil Wars Have the Same Causes
Third-party Interventions and the Duration of Intrastate Conflicts
Language, Religion, and Ethnic Civil War
Killing Time
From Armed Conflict to War
Explaining the International Relations of Secessionist Conflicts
Political party formation by former armed opposition groups after civil war
Bargaining and War
Religion as a Peacemaker? Peace Duration after Ethnic Civil Wars
Foreign fighter experience and impact
Foreign Fighter Returnees
On the Duration of Civil War
How and when armed conflicts end
When do ties bind? Foreign fighters, social embeddedness, and violence against civilians
Blocking resolution
Ethnicity and civil war
Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Much Longer than Others
International Peacebuilding
Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |