Very long range global population scenarios to 2300 and the implications of sustained low fertility
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 2636728 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Stuart Gietel-Basten (0000-0002-5818-8283, University of Oxford, corresponding author), Wolfgang Lutz (0000-0001-7975-8145, Vienna Institute of Demography), Sergei Scherbov (0000-0002-0881-1073, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis) |
| Year | 2013 |
| Volume | 28 |
| Pages | 1145-1166 |
| Publication date | 2013-05-30 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Demographic Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1435-9871 • E-ISSN: 2363-7064 |
| Publisher | Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (PUBLISHER • DE) |
| DOI | 10.4054/demres.2013.28.39 |
| OpenAlex | W2080461310 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 12 |
| References cited | 28 |
Depending on whether the global level of fertility is assumed to converge to the current European TFR (~1.5) or that of Southeast Asia or Central America (~2.5), global population will either decline to 2.3-2.9 billion by 2200 or increase to 33-37 billion
Birth rate · Central asia · Demographic economics · Development economics · Economics · Family planning · Fertility · Geography · Global population · Physical geography · Population · Population growth · Population momentum · Projections of population growth · Research methodology · Sociology · Sub-replacement fertility · Total fertility rate · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
Economic and social implications of aging societies
The carbon footprint of procreation
Mistakes in the Moral Mathematics of Existential Risk
Comparing Projection Assumptions of Fertility in Six Advanced Asian Economies; or ‘Thinking Beyond the Medium Variant’
A sustainable world population
Evaluating the Higher Education Enrollment Crisis in Hunan Province, China
Climate policy beyond ideological trenches
The emergence of humanity’s self-awareness
No future, no kids–no kids, no future
Is Demography Just a Numerical Exercise? Numbers, Politics, and Legacies of China’s One-Child Policy
China's Family Planning Policies
The Impact of the Economic Crisis on Fertility Levels in EU Member States
Women’s Education, Autonomy, and Reproductive Behaviour
The end of world population growth
The coming acceleration of global population ageing
Welfare and Families in Europe
An Inquiry into Well-Being and Destitution
Comparing Projection Assumptions of Fertility in Six Advanced Asian Economies; or ‘Thinking Beyond the Medium Variant’
Below-Replacement Fertility and Childbearing Intention in Jiangsu Province, China
Fertility Transitions in Developing Countries
The Correspondence Between Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the United States
Gauging the Validity of Responses to Questions on Family Size Preferences in China
The Emergence of Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s
Is Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe Explained by the Postponement of Childbearing
Overview Chapter 3
Summary and general conclusions
Overview Chapter 1
Overview Chapter 2
The End of "Lowest-Low" Fertility
Demographic Dimensions in Forecasting
Demography, Culture, and Policy
Economic Recession and Fertility in the Developed World
| Unique citing works | 12 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,92 |
| Citation span | 2013 - 2026 (14) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 12 |