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Secular Party Rule and Religious Violence in Pakistan

Bibliographic Data

ID3160100
AuthorsGareth Nellis (0000-0002-8620-8640, University of California, Berkeley, corresponding author), Niloufer Siddiqui (0000-0002-1816-5378, Albany State University, corresponding author)
Year2018
Volume112
Issue1
Pages49-67
Publication date2018-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Political Science Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s0003055417000491
OpenAlexW2770270596
LanguageEN
Citations received15
References cited90

Does secular party incumbency affect religious violence? Existing theory is ambiguous. On the one hand, religiously motivated militants might target areas that vote secularists into office. On the other hand, secular party politicians, reliant on the support of violence-hit communities, may face powerful electoral incentives to quell attacks. Candidates bent on preventing bloodshed might also sort into such parties. To adjudicate these claims, we combine constituency-level election returns with event data on Islamist and sectarian violence in Pakistan (1988-2011). For identification, we compare districts where secular parties narrowly won or lost elections. We find that secularist rule causes a sizable reduction in local religious conflict. Additional analyses suggest that the result stems from electoral pressures to cater to core party supporters and not from politician selection. The effect is concentrated in regions with denser police presence, highlighting the importance of state capacity for suppressing religious disorder

Adjudication · Economics · Face (sociological concept · Incentive · Political economy · Political science · Sociology · State (computer science · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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Unique citing works15
Citations per year2,5
Citation span2020 - 2026 (7)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 15

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