Economic Crisis and Political Regime Change
An Event History Analysis
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3432009 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Mark J Gasiorowski, Mark Gasiorowski (Louisiana State University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1995 |
| Volume | 89 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 882-897 |
| Publication date | 1995-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Political Science Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2082515 |
| OpenAlex | W2139649522 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 214 |
| References cited | 73 |
I examine the effect of economic crises on domestic political regime change. Using a statistical technique known as event history analysis and a new data set that identifies all instances of regime change in the 97 largest Third World countries, I develop multivariate models of democratic breakdown and democratic transition. My main findings are that inflationary crises inhibited democratization from the 1950s through the early 1970s but may have facilitated it in the late 1980s and that recessionary crises facilitated democratic breakdown but had no effect on democratic transition throughout this period. The inflation findings-though not the recession findings-support the arguments of Karen Remmer and Samuel Huntington that the processes affecting democratization were very different in the 1980s than in earlier eras. A number of other explanatory variables emerge as significant determinants of regime change, providing support for several other contentions that have appeared in the literature
Democracy · Democratization · Development economics · Economics · Inflation (cosmology · Keynesian economics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Recession · Regime change · Transition (genetics · International Development and Aid · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Social Policy and Reform Studies
The Limits of Incumbent Blame Games in Times of Crisis
No Shortcut to Stability
Political Culture and the Science of Politics
Authoritarianism and the Elite Origins of Democracy
Die Bundesrepublik
Democracy in Hard Places
Nach dem »Großen Krieg«
How Autocrats Compete
A Theory of Political Transitions
The Logic of Authoritarian Bargains
Do Crises Induce Reform? A Critical Review of Conception, Methodology and Empirical Evidence of the ‘Crisis Hypothesis’
Democratization and Research Methods
A dynamic theory of the transition to democracy
The Democratic Peace and Territorial Conflict in the Twentieth Century
Political Development Prospects in the Arab World
Taǧnīs al-Multaqaṭ as a Source for Studying the Transition Period of Hanafism in Central Asia
The Social Violence and Regime Changes in Indonesia
Political development and economic performance in the last 200 years
Economic Evaluations, Economic Freedom, and Democratic Satisfaction in Africa
Routes to Reform
Property Rights and Property Wrongs
Clarity of Responsibility, Accountability, and Corruption
Popular Dictatorships
Democracy from Above
Power Sharing and Democracy in Post-Civil War States
How Regional Organizations Sustain Authoritarian Rule
Determinants of Democratization
Ordering Power
Regime Stability and the Persistence of Traditional Practices
Governing for Growth? Economic Performance and Finance Minister Survival in Democracies and Autocracies
Coups d’état and the informal economy
The contagion of democracy through international networks
La supervivencia de la democracia en América Latina (1945-2005)
Economic Crises and Political Change
Research on the Role of Classroom Discourse As It Affects Reading Comprehension
The civic participation in China survey
Epistemological lacunae in conceptualising political structure
The South African small banks’ crisis of 2002/3
Economic Sanctions and Political Repression
The rise and the fall of the Turkish economic success story under AKP (JDP)
Citizens’ Expectations for Crisis Management and the Involvement of Civil Society Organisations in China
Democracy, aid, and diffusion
Regime Type and Interstate War Finance
The Determinants of Anti-Government Protests in Asia
Convergence on Crisis? Comparing Labour and Conservative Party Framing of the Economic Crisis in Britain, 2008‐14
Causes and Triggers of Coups d'état
Ethnic Minority Governments, Democracy, and Human Rights
Governance and Democratization since the 2008 Financial Crisis
The Collapse of East European Communism and the Repercussions within the Soviet Union (Part 2)
The Collapse of East European Communism and the Repercussions within the Soviet Union (Part 3)
Analyzing the political survival prospects of Kim Jong-un's North Korean regime through the framework of selectorate theory
Democratic backsliding in sub-Saharan Africa and the role of China’s development assistance
Theories of Practice
Democratisation after empire
Who votes after a coup? Theory and evidence from Egypt
Crises and political transformations in hybrid and authoritarian regimes
Trade and democracy in sub-Saharan African countries
Does Electoral Manipulation Vary
Propaganda during Economic Crises
Striving for greatness
Comparing democratic performance of semi-presidential regimes in the post-communist region
Russia's Response to Crisis
Distributional Bargaining and the Speed of Structural Change in the Petroleum Exporting Labor Surplus Economies
Checks and Balances and Institutional Gridlock
The Effects of Liberalism on the Terrestrial Environment
The role of international organizations in regime transitions
The Operationalization of Democracy and the Strength of the Democratic Peace
Short Changing the Value of Democracy for Economic Development in Africa
Why do richer democracies survive?—The non-effect of unconventional political participation
Conjunctural urban geographies
Optimal Weather Conditions, Economic Growth, and Political Transitions
Coercive or Corrosive
Democratization in Conflict Research
Regime Change and Arab Countries' Lobbying in the United States
Economic growth, largest-party vote shares, and electoral authoritarianism
Questions in Time
Long Time Coming
A coalitional perspective on democratic backsliding
On revolt and endogenous economic policy in autocratic regimes
Parties, Civil Society, and the Deterrence of Democratic Defection
Macroeconomic conditions and political instability
The wrong kind of crisis
Cultural and economic prerequisites of democracy
The Macroeconomic Consequences of Democratic Transition
International Organizations and Democracy Development
Political regimes and financial crises
Constrainers vs Enablers
Mobilisierung, Staat und Demokratie
Returning Veterans’ Attitudes Toward Democracy
Modeling Democratic Transitions in Latin America
Trade Openness, Inequality, and Democracy in East Asia
How oil autocracies learn to stop worrying
What is the impact of the economic crisis on democracy? Evidence from Europe
Democratización
The Art of the Possible
Inequality and Democracy
Terrorism and the Fate of Dictators
Democratization and the dynamics of income distribution in low- and middle-income countries
Guns, Butter, and Growth
Correlation Versus Interchangeability
Empirical democratic theory
Political Order in Changing Societies
Authoritarians and democrats
Social change in the twentieth century
Capitalist development and democracy
Polyarchy
Event History Analysis
The Failure of Presidential Democracy
The Penn World Table (Mark 5)
World handbook of political and social indicators
The third wave
The New authoritarianism in Latin America
Democracy in Plural Societies
Democracy and Development
Political Order in Changing Societies
Democracy in Developing Countries
Democracy in Developing Countries
Capitalist Development and Democracy
Political Culture and Democracy in Developing Countries
Democracy and Human Rights in Developing Countries
Authoritarianism and Corporatism in Latin America
The Government and Politics of the Middle East and North Africa
The International System and Regime Formation
Regimes in Tropical Africa
Democracy and Development
The Political Regimes Project
Political Democracy
To Craft Democracies
Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy
Bureaucratic authoritarianism
Poverty, the Coup Trap, and the Seizure of Executive Power
The Rise of Bureaucratic Authoritarianism in South Korea
Why Africa's Weak States Persist
Dependent Economic Development, Aid Dependence on the United States, and Democratic Breakdown in the Third World
Economic Crisis and Regime Change in Brazil
Rethinking Regime Change
Philippine Authoritarianism and the International Economy
Legitimacy, Institutionalization, and Opposition in Exclusionary Bureaucratic-Authoritarian Regimes
An Overview of the Political Regime Change Dataset
The Structural Constraints of the World-Economy on National Political Development
Presidentialism, Multipartism, and Democracy
Stabilization Crises and the Breakdown of Military Authoritarianism in Latin America
Economic Dependence and Political Democracy
Democracy in Black Africa
Transitions to Democracy
Dynamics of Formal Political Structure
Political Democracy and the Timing of Development
Issues in the Comparative Measurement of Political Democracy
Democracy, Economic Development, and Income Inequality
World System Position, Dependency, and Democracy
Will More Countries Become Democratic
Social Mobilization and Political Development
Comparative Democracy
Time and Power in Africa
Some Social Requisites of Democracy
Political Regime Change
State Lottery Adoptions as Policy Innovations
The Collapse of Democracy in Brazil
Bureaucratic-Authoritarianism Revisited
Reflections on the Patterns of Change in the Bureaucratic-Authoritarian State
| Unique citing works | 214 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 7,13 |
| Citation span | 1996 - 2026 (31) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 211 |