Limits to Human Life Expectancy
Evidence, Prospects, and Implications
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4121574 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Kenneth G Manton, Eric Stallard, H Dennis Tolley |
| Year | 1991 |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 603 |
| Publication date | 1991-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Population and Development Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457 |
| Publisher | JSTOR (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/1973599 |
| OpenAlex | W2032467890 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 49 |
| References cited | 11 |
Identifying limits to human life expectancy and life span is difficult because survival is determined by the individuals physiology exogenous influences and their interaction over time. To explore theoretical limits the authors examine the life expectancy of selected populations with good health behavior and apply a multivariate risk-factor model to longitudinal data. The risk-factor model and the population data produce consistent estimates of a lower bound of the theoretical limit to human life expectancy. The results suggest that such limits may be higher than estimates obtained by extrapolating human mortality trends which necessarily are dependent on historical conditions. The investigation emphasizes the need to use information on individual physiological processes and health changes prior to death in addition to mortality or endpoint data in making estimates. The low-risk populations studied are from the United States and Japan. (SUMMARY IN FRE AND SPA) (EXCERPT)
Expectancy theory · Life expectancy · Population · Sociology · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Health disparities and outcomes · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Psychology · Social Psychology
Regional mortality differences in Britain, 1931–87
Percorrendo os trilhos da ferrovia rumo às associações entre longevidade humana e fatores ambientais
Trajectories of Extreme Survival in Heterogeneous Populations
Family Dynamics of 63 Million (in 1990) to More Than 330 Million (in 2050) Elders in China
Forecasting Survival, Health, and Disability
Demographic Perspectives on Human Senescence
Forecasting US Age Structure and the Future of Social Security
Survival Among Belgian Centenarians (1870-1894 Cohorts)
Principles of Biodemography with special reference to Human Longevity
Lifespan and Healthspan
Biodemography of human ageing
The coming acceleration of global population ageing
A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries
Demographic forecasting
Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries
Church Attendance and New Episodes of Major Depression in a Community Study of Older Adults
Gender Differences in the Association Between Religious Involvement and Depression
Measuring Variations in Lifetime Welfare Ex Ante and Ex Post
Evolución de la esperanza de vida de Costa Rica en el contexto global (1930-2010)
Trajectories of Extreme Survival in Heterogeneous Populations
Senescence in European Middle Pleistocene hominids
Projecting Long-Term Care Expenditure in Four European Union Member States
Sociodemographic Characteristics of Long-Lived and Healthy Individuals
Reductions in Mortality at Advanced Ages
Youth mortality due to HIV/Aids in South Africa, 2001–2009
An Upper Limit to Human Longevity
Mortality trends and projections in Hong Kong
Adult mortality risks and religious affiliation
How Long Can We Live? A Review Essay
The Low Mortality of a Learned Society
Variations in the pace of old-age mortality decline in seven European countries, 1950–1999
Epidemiological transition of mortality curves in terms of the Brass logit system
The importance of demographic analyses in state- and local-level policy evaluations
Survival and Health at the Oldest Ages
Age at death and rectangularisation of the survival curve
The elimination of selected chronic diseases in a population
Using subjective expectations to forecast longevity
Death and Taxes
Changes in the age dependence of mortality and disability
Understanding the twentieth-century decline in chronic conditions among older men
Causal Complexity and the Study of Politics
A Realist View of Aging, Mortality, and Future Longevity
How Long Will We Live
Will Aging Baby Boomers Bust the Federal Budget
Steep Increase in Best-Practice Cohort Life Expectancy
Longevity Advances in High-Income Countries, 1955-96
Hétérogénéité des générations et âge extrême de la vie
Sigma and beta convergence in regional mortality
Life is Getting Better
Physical Activity, All-Cause Mortality, and Longevity of College Alumni
Aging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity
In Search of Methuselah
Rectangularization of the Survival Curve
Mortality among the elderly in the Alameda County Study
The effect of a reduction in leading causes of death
Alternative Projections of the U.S. population
Recent Trends in Mortality Analysis
Social life factors affecting the mortality of total Japanese population
The Analysis of Mortality and other Actuarial Statistics
Essai sur la mortalite "biologique" de l'homme
| Unique citing works | 49 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,48 |
| Citation span | 1993 - 2022 (30) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 40 |