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Educational expectations in the great recession

Has the Impact of Family Background Become Stronger

Bibliographic Data

ID4237809
AuthorsLeire Salazar (0000-0001-5948-0115, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia), H Cebolla-Boado (0000-0002-5804-8715, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia), J Radl (0000-0002-0372-5782, Department of Social Sciences, Carlos III University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume18
Issue2
Pages465-491
Publication date2020-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocio-Economic Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1475-1461 • E-ISSN: 1475-147X
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/ser/mwy046
OpenAlexW2909906328
LanguageEN
Citations received20
References cited43

This article addresses the impact of economic climate, and particularly of the Great Recession, on the configuration of educational expectations among students around 14 years old. We analyze expectations regarding educational attainment conditional on school performance and compare our results across countries with varying levels of economic growth over time. We expect a changing economic environment to impact on (a) the average level of educational expectations, (b) the association between social background and expectations, and (c) the association between school grades and expectations. Using pooled data from TIMSS for the years 2003, 2007 and 2011 among 8th graders for 24 developed countries, we estimate a set of country-fixed effects and hierarchical random-slope linear regression models. Most notably, our results indicate that economic down times depress educational expectations, especially among average-performing students, and lead to a growth in educational inequalities by family background

Association (psychology) · Demographic economics · Economic growth · Economics · Educational attainment · Educational inequality · Great recession · Inequality · Labour economics · Macroeconomics · Multilevel model · Recession · Statistics · Income, Poverty, and Inequality · Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies · Mathematics · Psychology · School Choice and Performance

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Unique citing works20
Citations per year3,33
Citation span2020 - 2026 (7)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 18

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