Identifying victims of groupthink from public statements of decision makers
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6202580 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Philip E Tetlock (0000-0002-6535-530X, University of California, Berkeley, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1979 |
| Volume | 37 |
| Issue | 8 |
| Pages | 1314-1324 |
| Publication date | 1979-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3514 • E-ISSN: 1939-1315 |
| Publisher | American Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1037/0022-3514.37.8.1314 |
| OpenAlex | W2120225354 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 71 |
| References cited | 18 |
The present study attempts to test hypotheses derived from Janis's groupthink analysis of several foreign policy decisions of the American government. Content analyses were performed using the public statements of key decision makers involved in crises for which Janis's case studies revealed or did not reveal evidence of groupthink. Consistent with Janis's theory, it was found that, relative to non-groupthin k decision makers, groupthink decision makers were more simplistic in their perceptions of policy issues and made more positive references to the United States and its allies (own group). Inconsistent with Janis's theory, groupthink decision makers did not make significantly more negative references to Communist states and their allies (opponents). Possible explanations for the findings are assessed, and methodological and practical obstacles to definitive testing of the groupthink model are examined
Diverse Academic Research Areas · Psychology · Social Psychology
Foreign Policy Analysis and Globalization
Science, Empiricism, and Tolerance in the Study of Foreign Policymaking
Indices of World Tension in The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Beyond fiasco
Supreme Court decision making
Accountability and complexity of thought
The power motive as an influence on group decision making
Assessing political group dynamics
Personality and isolationism
Status, ideology, and integrative complexity on the U.S. Supreme Court
Who Makes Foreign Policy Decisions and How
Psychological advice on foreign policy
Political Perception
Inside the Mental Voting Booth
Psychohistory and Political Psychology
Nonverbal Behavior and Leadership
Political Information Processing
The Poly-Psy Relationship
Cognitive Structural Analysis of Political Rhetoric
Affect and Political Judgment
Information and Electoral Attitudes
An Overview of the Field of Political Psychology
The Drunkard’s Search
Decision Making in Presidential Primaries
Symbolic Politics
Neoclassical Realism and Foreign Policy Analysis – A Possible Way of Integration?
Foreign Policymaking and Group Dynamics
Foreign Policy Analysis Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow
Groupthink and France's defeat in the 1940 campaign
Irving L. Janis' Victims of Groupthink
Foreign Policy Analysis and Globalization
Foreign Policy Analysis in the Twenty-First Century
Crisis Studies and Foreign Policy Analysis
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The role of motivation, responsibility, and integrative complexity in crisis escalation
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Historiometric Methods in Social Psychology
Developing complex group products
A Review of research on Groupthink
The validity and reliability of focus groups as a research method in adult education
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Friendship and group identification
Arousal and evaluative extremity in social judgments
Monitoring the Integrative Complexity of American and Soviet Policy Rhetoric
Policy‐Makers' Images of International Conflict
The Rhetorical Use of Values to Justify Social and Intergroup Attitudes
Cohesion and Respect
Drama and Rationality in Foreign Policy
Integrative Complexity Coding Raises Integratively Complex Issues
Integrative Complexity and British Decisions during the Munich and Polish Crises
Antecedents of Groupthink
Victims of Groupthink
The motivational basis of concessions and compromise
Network Hubs and Opportunity for Complex Thinking Among Young British Muslims
Verbal behavior and politics
International crises; insights from behavioral research.
The psychological dimension of foreign policy.
The power motive
Statistical principles in experimental design.
Self-Perception Theory
Essence of Decision
Presidential power
The Psychological Dimension of Foreign Policy, by Joseph H. de Rivera
The language-as-fixed-effect fallacy
Does everybody like a liker
Cognitive dissonance
Integrative Complexity of Communications in International Crises
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A laboratory test of some implications of Janis's groupthink hypothesis
Revolutionary leaders
| Unique citing works | 71 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,54 |
| Citation span | 1980 - 2022 (43) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 59 |