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War, Peace, and Integrative Complexity

Un Speeches on the Middle East Problem, 1947–1976

Bibliographic Data

ID6284468
AuthorsPeter Suedfeld (0000-0003-2563-036X, University of British Columbia, corresponding author), Philip E Tetlock (0000-0002-6535-530X, Yale University), Carmenza Ramirez
Year1977
Volume21
Issue3
Pages427-442
Publication date1977-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/002200277702100303
OpenAlexW1523042090
LanguageEN
Citations received90
References cited14

UN General Assembly speeches concerning the Middle East conflict made by representatives of Israel, Arab countries (Egypt and Syria), the USA, and the USSR were scored for integrative complexity. Speeches were sampled from twenty years between 1947 and 1976. Complexity of information-processing was significantly reduced in speeches made in months preceding the outbreak of war (1948, 1956, 1967, and 1973), except in the case of the USSR. Israel, which with the United States exhibited the highest levels of complexity during peacetime, showed the greatest reductions prior to war. The low level of complexity characteristic of Israeli and Arab speeches during 1976 may reflect the escalation of the Lebanese civil war or may be a predictor of a major outbreak of hostilities in the near future

Development economics · Middle East · Peacetime · Political economy · Political science · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · Cognitive Science and Education Research · Law · Misinformation and Its Impacts · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence

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Unique citing works90
Citations per year1,91
Citation span1979 - 2023 (45)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 90

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