On the self-erasing nature of errors of prediction
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6207507 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Steven J Sherman (Indiana University Bloomington, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1980 |
| Volume | 39 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 211-221 |
| Publication date | 1980-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3514 • E-ISSN: 1939-1315 |
| Publisher | American Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1037/0022-3514.39.2.211 |
| OpenAlex | W1985340847 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 119 |
| References cited | 23 |
Cognitive psychology · Self-concept · Self-disclosure · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Gambling Behavior and Treatments · Psychology · Psychology of Social Influence · Social Psychology · Statistics Education and Methodologies
Capturing and Creating Public Opinion in Survey Research
A Motivational Account of the Question-Behavior Effect
The Short- and Long-Term Effects of Measuring Intent to Repurchase
Self-Monitoring and Susceptibility to the Influence of Self-Prophecy
When Consumers Do Not Recognize "Benign" Intention Questions as Persuasion Attempts
The Genesis of Shame
Social support from fellow group members triggers additional effort in groups
Great Expectations
The influence of outcome desirability on optimism
The relative accuracy of self-predictions and judgments by others in psychological assessment
Illusion and well-being
The correspondence bias
Do collectivists know themselves better than individualists? Cross-cultural studies of the holier than thou phenomenon
Imagination and expectation
Sweet taste preferences and experiences predict prosocial inferences, personalities, and behaviors
Counterfactuals, Causal Attributions, and the Hindsight Bias
Situated Optimism
How We Get Along
Heuristics and Biases
Increasing voting behavior by asking people if they expect to vote.
Norm theory
The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning.
The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence
Extensional versus intuitive reasoning
Individual differences in reasoning
Clinical Versus Actuarial Judgment
Support theory
The hot hand in basketball
Affective Forecasting
Using Nonnaive Participants Can Reduce Effect Sizes
Bias and Accuracy in Close Relationships
Do You Have a Voting Plan?
Do Intentions Really Predict Behavior? Self-Generated Validity Effects in Survey Research
Multiple Processes by which Attitudes Guide Behavior
Representativeness Revisited
From Intentions to Actions
Temporal construal.
The Self as Narrator
Do Questions about Watching Internet Pornography Make People Watch Internet Pornography? A Comparison Between Adolescents and Adults
Gender Differences in Family Communication About Organ Donation
An overview of the quantum cognition research program
Affective forecasting and scope sensitivity of warm glow - Comparisons between joint and separate evaluations
Next Week, Next Month, Next Year
When Does Increasing Mobilization Effort Increase Turnout? Evidence from a Field Experiment on Reminder Calls
Values as Barriers to Compromise? Ideology, Transnational Coalitions, and Distributive Bargaining in Negotiations over the Third Greek Bailout
What was I thinking? A theoretical framework for analysing panel conditioning in attitudes and (response) behaviour
What answers do questioners want on social Q&A? User preferences of answers about STDs
Teaching lessons in exclusion
Predicting a changing taste
Me?! Never! Social Distance as a Moderator of Other Contextual Factors on Responses to Ethical Scenarios
The illusion of courage in self‐predictions
The Mind and the Future
Heuristics and Biases
Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation
The Affect Heuristic
The Effect of Measuring Intent on Brand-Level Purchase Behavior
Contrast Effects in Consumer Judgments
Self-prediction
A new look at motivated inference
Attributional orientations and the prediction of behavior
Forgetting to remember our experiences
If you need help, just ask
The undoing of scenarios
Social explanation
Why and when peer prediction is superior to self-prediction
"Exploring the "planning fallacy
How alike is it versus how likely is it
Accuracy, error, and bias in predictions for real versus hypothetical events
Recent Bereavement from Suicide and other Deaths
National Surveys Via Rdd Telephone Interviewing Versus the Internet
Self-relevant scenarios as mediators of likelihood estimates and compliance
Costs and benefits of allegiance
Ambiguity and self-evaluation
"Feeling "holier than thou
The Self-Regulation of Attitudes, Intentions, and Behavior
Self‐expectancies and reactions to evaluations of personal performance
Panel Conditioning in a Longitudinal Study of Adolescents' Substance Use
It's About Time
An integrative review of process dissociation and related models in social cognition
The question-behaviour effect
Making them pay
A randomised controlled trial of a theory of planned behaviour to increase fruit and vegetable consumption. Fresh Facts
Staying on topic
Consuming Regardless of Preference
Panel Conditioning in Longitudinal Studies
The power of regression to the mean
Overcoming the planning fallacy through willpower
Two Models for Conceptualizing the Attitude-Behavior Relationship
Disaggregating the Motives Underlying Tiarnover Intentions
Unintentional Voter Mobilization
Information Processing and Commitment
Can Survey Participation Alter Household Saving Behaviour
Counterfactual thinking facilitates behavioral intentions
Attitude accessibility, attitude-behavior consistency, and the strength of the object-evaluation association
Giving-by-proxy triggers subsequent charitable behavior
The effects of explaining hypothetical future events
Attitude bolstering when behavior is inconsistent with central attitudes
Reactance, Compliance, and Anticipated Regret
Empathy neglect
Heeding the Call
On the psychology of prediction.
Self-Perception Theory
The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings
Expectancy statements as determinants of reactions to failure
Deception in social research
Attitudinal vs. Normative Messages
Conformity as a function of deception and role playing
Social explanation and social expectation
Some Conditions of Obedience and Disobedience to Authority
The prediction of behavior from attitudinal and normative variables
The effects of explaining hypothetical future events
Contrast effects and their relationship to subsequent behavior
Attitudes are alive and well and gainfully employed in the sphere of action
Attribution and the psychology of prediction
Role playing
Effects of initial request size and timing of a second request on compliance
Choosing to suffer as a consequence of expecting to suffer
Social perception and interpersonal behavior
Low-ball procedure for producing compliance
Role playing versus deception
Compliance without pressure
Man as an intuitive statistician
Performance expectancy as a determinant of actual performance
| Unique citing works | 119 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,59 |
| Citation span | 1980 - 2026 (47) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 103 |