Arms Races and Arms Control
Modeling the Hawk Perspective
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6231706 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Andrew H Kydd (0000-0002-9837-4793, corresponding author), Andrew Kydd |
| Year | 2000 |
| Volume | 44 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 228 |
| Publication date | 2000-04-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907 |
| Publisher | JSTOR (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2669307 |
| OpenAlex | W2323771208 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 43 |
| References cited | 29 |
Of the three major theories developed by post-World War 11 American social science to explain arms races, the repeated prisoner's dilemma, the spiral model, and the deterrence model, the deterrence model has received the least attention from game theorists. I present a model of this perspective and discuss its implications for arms racing and armscontrol theory. Arms races arise in the model when there is a conflict of interest between two states and uncertainty about the ability of at least one side to bear the strains of increased military spending. The model provides support for two common critiques of arms control. First, arms control is difficult to achieve when it is most needed, when there is a dispute accompanied by uncertainty that could lead to war. Second, arms races, though they occur in times of tension, do not necessarily increase the likelihood of war and may even reduce it by reducing uncertainty about relative power
Arms control · Control (management · Criminology · Deterrence (psychology · Deterrence theory · Dilemma · Economics · Epistemology · Game theory · Gun control · Management · Mathematical economics · Perspective (graphical · Political science · Prisoner's dilemma · Social dilemma · Computer Science · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
Order within Anarchy
Military Threats
American Grand Strategy and East Asian Security in the Twenty-First Century
Regions of War and Peace
Conventional Arms Control Agreements in Europe
Can an arms race promote stability? The inter-Korean qualitative arms race and US extended deterrence
Trust in the Balance
Changing capabilities, uncertainty, and the risk of war in crisis bargaining
Domestic politics, reputational sanctions, and international compliance
Evaluating the Effects of Trade on Militarized Behavior in the Context of Territorial Threat
The Institutional Design of Arms Control Agreements
Strategic Uncertainty as a Cause of War
Strategic Militarization, Deterrence and Wars
Civil war and state support for conventional arms control
Arms transfers and international relations theory
Alliances as Contiguity in Spatial Models of Military Expenditures
Interstate rivalry, major power status, and state support for arms control
Military Mobilization and Commitment Problems
Capitalism, Commitment, and Peace
When Are Arms Races Dangerous? Rational versus Suboptimal Arming
The Impact of China on Cybersecurity
Competitive diplomacy in bargaining and war
A sheriff, two bullets and three problems
Dispute Resolution Institutions and Strategic Militarization
Arms Races and Conflict
Political responsiveness and transparency in defense policymaking
When Capabilities Backfire
Understanding Arms Race Onset
Uncertainty, Salient Stakes, and the Causes of Conventional Arms Races
Complicating Commitment
Deterrence in the Cyber Realm
Cooperation, Conflict, and the Costs of Anarchy
Dual Use Deception
Nuclear Superiority and the Balance of Resolve
Bargainingtheory Andinternationalconflict
Anticipating War? War Preparations and the Steps-to-War Thesis
Taking Arms Against a Sea of Troubles
Asymmetric burden-sharing and the restraining and deterrence effects of alliances
External threats and state support for arms control
Just part of the game? Arms races, rivalry, and war
The build-up of coercive capacities
Military Coercion in Interstate Crises
Why Arms Control Is So Rare
Cooperation and Discord in U.S.-Soviet Arms Control
Cooperation under Anarchy
Perception and Misperception in International Politics
War and Change in World Politics
GRIT, Gorbachev and the end of the Cold War
Superpower Arms Control
Closing Pandora's Box
Arms Races and Cooperation
Game Theory and the Spiral Model
The Urge to Compete
Military Buildups, War, and Realpolitik
Arms Races and Escalation
A Twist of Truth
Arms Races and Escalation
Can Arms Races Lead to the Outbreak of War
Armaments and Escalation
Arms Races?-And Escalation? A Comment on Wallace
Bargaining, Enforcement, and International Cooperation
Rationalist explanations for war
Capabilities, Uncertainty, and Resolve
Arms Races and Dispute Escalation
Arms Races and Escalation
Reconfiguring The Arms Race-War Debate
Furthering the Investigation into the Effects of Arms Buildups
Guns, Butter, and Anarchy
Conflict, War, and Redistribution
Arms Races to War
| Unique citing works | 43 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,79 |
| Citation span | 2002 - 2025 (24) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 43 |