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Commercial Diplomacy and Political Risk

Bibliographic Data

ID6272500
AuthorsGeoffrey Gertz (Brookings Institution, corresponding author)
Year2018
Volume62
Issue1
Pages94-107
Publication date2018-03-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Studies Quarterly (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-8833 • E-ISSN: 1468-2478
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/isq/sqx079
OpenAlexW2790641990
LanguageEN
Citations received24
References cited67

The modern investor-state arbitration regime was explicitly designed to replace commercial diplomacy as a mechanism for protecting foreign investment. I argue, however, that diplomacy continues to play an important role in managing political risk, particularly in countries with weak rule of law. Yet, since commercial diplomacy occurs primarily behind closed doors, it is difficult to observe, let alone test for its effects. To overcome this obstacle, I exploit variation in vacancies among US ambassadors to foreign countries—conditions overwhelmingly driven by US domestic political factors—which provides for a quasi-natural experiment for testing the effects of commercial diplomacy. I show that American firms operating abroad are significantly more likely to initiate investor-state arbitration disputes during temporary vacancies in US ambassadorships. The effects of these vacancies prove particularly strong in countries with weak rule of law. The results suggest American investors frequently seek assistance from the US government in informally resolving incipient investment disputes; if diplomatic channels are unsuccessful or unavailable, investors then file formal arbitration cases. These findings underline that, even in highly legalized issue areas in world politics, such as investment protection, informal diplomacy continues to influence important political economy outcomes

Arbitration · Business · Diplomacy · Economics · Foreign direct investment · Government (linguistics · International economics · International trade · Law and economics · Obstacle · Political economy · Political risk · Political science · Politics · State (computer science · International Arbitration and Investment Law · International Development and Aid · Law · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies

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Unique citing works24
Citations per year3
Citation span2018 - 2026 (9)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 24

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