Which Side Are You On? Bias, Credibility, and Mediation
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6231328 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Andrew H Kydd (0000-0002-9837-4793, Harvard University Press, corresponding author), Andrew Kydd |
| Year | 2003 |
| Volume | 47 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 597 |
| Publication date | 2003-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907 |
| Publisher | JSTOR (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/3186121 |
| OpenAlex | W4234537617 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 211 |
| References cited | 46 |
Mediators are often thought to be more effective if they are unbiased or have no preferences over the issue in dispute. This article presents a game theoretic model of mediation drawing on the theory of “cheap talk” which highlights a contrary logic. Conflict arises in bargaining games because of uncertainty about the resolve of the parties. A mediator can reduce the likelihood of conflict by providing information on this score. For a mediator to be effective, however, the parties must believe that the mediator is telling the truth, especially if the mediator counsels one side to make a concession because their opponent has high resolve and will fight. An unbiased mediator who is simply interested in minimizing the probability of conflict will have a strong incentive to make such statements even if they are not true, hence the parties will not find the mediator credible. Only mediators who are effectively “on your side” will be believed if they counsel restraint
Adversary · Cheap talk · Computer security · Credibility · Economics · Incentive · International conflict · Mediation · Mediator · Microeconomics · Political science · Politics · Computer Science · Conflict Management and Negotiation · Game Theory and Applications · Game Theory and Voting Systems · Law · Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems · Medicine · Psychology · Social Psychology
Third-Party Intervention Strategies in Solving Interpersonal Conflicts
Informal Governance in the European Union
Informal Governance in the European Union
Mediation in International Conflicts
Multiparty Mediation in Violent Conflict
The Political Economy of the United Nations Security Council
Dictators and Their Viziers
Russia’s failed “muscular mediation” in Nagorno-Karabakh
Conflict Management Trajectories in Militarized Interstate Disputes
Blueprints and Blind Spots
Managing complexity
The effectiveness in international mediation of international organizations
When Do Mediators Say “No”? The Case of American Resistance to Mediating the Gulf Diplomatic Crisis
Threads of Peace
Small-State Niche Diplomacy at Work
Inefficient Concessions and Mediation
Opposing Power
International Conflict Mediation
Estudios de paz y conflictos
International Multiparty Mediation and Conflict Management
International Negotiation
Power Sharing and Democracy in Post-Civil War States
Power in Peacekeeping
A Clear Victory for Air Power
Context, Process, and Structure
Mediated Audience Costs
Negotiating Peace with Your Enemy
Changing capabilities, uncertainty, and the risk of war in crisis bargaining
Beroligelse 2.0
The Power to Blame as a Source of Leverage
We do negotiate with terrorists
Identity, bargaining, and third-party mediation
Introducing Patchworked Peacemaking
Responding to Child Soldiering
Why Does Ethnicity Increase in Salience as Political Order Decays
War-Making and Mediation in Civil Wars
Bombing to Bargain? The Air War for Kosovo
Detention as a Peacemaking Strategy
Intrastate Armed Conflict Termination and Foreign Direct Investment
The Conflict Management Efforts of Allies in Interstate Disputes
Persuasion in International Politics
The Strategic Use of International Institutions in Dispute Settlement
Discontinuities in signaling behavior upon the decision for war
Mediation and Peacekeeping in a Random Walk Model of Civil and Interstate War
Leanings and Dealings
Process Peace
Regional Influences on Mediation Behavior
Coping with Complexity
Perceptions of the EU’s Role in the Ukraine-Russia and the Israel-Palestine Conflicts
International Mediation in Africa
Paved with Good Intentions
Does the Distribution of Ethnic Kin-Groups Explain Mediation in Territorial Conflicts
The Importance of Being Earnest (in Mediation)
Mediating among Mediators
Soft Power, Bias and Manipulation of International Organizations in International Mediation
The Competing Mediations in the Post-Qaddafi Libyan Political Crisis
Introduction
The Challenge of Forging Consent to UN Mediation in Internationalized Civil Wars
Cultural Similarity and Mediation Offers in Interstate Conflicts, 1945–1995
Multiparty Mediation Networks and Civil War Mediation Outcomes
Conditions for Successful Multiparty Mediation in Separatist Armed Conflicts
When to Get Out of the Trench? Using Smart Pressure to Resolve Civil Wars
In Search of the Golden Formula
Third-party knowledge and success in civil war mediation
Any port in a storm
Partnering to Make Peace
Mediation in Syria
Unequal access to justice
The spatial contagion of international mediation
Transborder identities, bias, and third-party conflict management
How mediator leadership transitions influence mediation effectiveness
Bias and the Effectiveness of Third-Party Conflict Management Mechanisms
International Mediation, Selection Effects, and the Question of Bias
Crisis managers but not conflict resolvers
Between indifference and coercion
Fear of rejection
Failing to succeed? The cumulative impact of international mediation revisited
Disentangling bias
Bargaining power and the arbitration and adjudication of territorial claims
Intervention in Conflicts from a Network Perspective
Preventing War and Providing the Peace
Conflict management capabilities of peace-brokering international organizations, 1945–2010
Forecasting conflict management in militarized interstate disputes
Danger Beyond Dyads
Crafting international apologies that work
Strategic forum selection and compliance in interstate dispute resolution
The UN at the peacemaking–peacebuilding nexus
The Suez Crisis and Dag Hammarskjöld’s Mediation
Civil war mediation and integration into global value chains
Incentives for Talking
Secrecy and Self-Interest
Intervention Without Leverage
Credibility and Strategy in International Mediation
Why “cheap” threats are meaningful
The Conditional Effectiveness of Directive Mediation
Examining conflict management technique sequences in international claims
Peace from the Inside
Helping without hurting
Complementary mediation
Empirical Studies in International Mediation
In the Shadow of Power
The Intermediaries
Information and Legislative Organization
Strategic Information Transmission
Incentive Compatibility and the Bargaining Problem
Managing Global Chaos
International mediation in theory and practice
Alliances As Instruments Of Intra-Allied Control
Mediation in International Relations
The Peace Brokers
When biased advice is a good thing
A Clear Victory for Air Power
Peace Process
Beyond confrontation
Winning Ugly
Caveat
Committing to Peace
The Value of Biased Information
Mediation
Why Do They Do It Like This
Understanding Success and Failure of International Mediation
The Nature of the Dispute and the Effectiveness of International Mediation
Mediation
Third-party Interventions and the Duration of Intrastate Conflicts
A New Statecraft? Supranational Entrepreneurs and International Cooperation
Rationalist explanations for war
Third-party techniques for preventing conflict escalation and promoting peaceful settlement
Modeling the forms of international cooperation
The Rational Design of International Institutions
Bargainingtheory Andinternationalconflict
Cheap Talk
| Unique citing works | 207 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 9,17 |
| Citation span | 2003 - 2026 (24) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 210 |