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Close‐to‐Balance or in Surplus

A Policy‐Maker's Guide to the Implementation of the Stability and Growth Pact

Bibliographic Data

ID6282787
AuthorsMichael J Artis (European University Institute), Marco Buti (Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs)
Year2000
Volume38
Issue4
Pages563-591
Publication date2000-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJCMS Journal of Common Market Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0021-9886 • E-ISSN: 1468-5965
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/1468-5965.00254
OpenAlexW2083107230
LanguageEN
Citations received25

Under the Stability and Growth Pact, countries are committed to achieve medium‐term budget positions of ‘close‐to‐balance or in surplus’. The rationale for this commitment is that such budgetary positions would allow for the full working of the built‐in stabilizers without triggering the sanctions procedures of the Pact. This article sets out to show how quantifications of the medium‐term (structural) requirement can accommodate the desired aim and suggests how fiscal measurement and forecasting errors as well as the budgetary effects of ageing may be allowed for. All in all, broadly balanced budgets in the medium term appear to be ‘roughly right’ for most euro‐zone countries. Of course, as the cyclical behaviour of the euro‐zone economy adapts to the new EMU environment, the medium‐term targets will need to be addressed again

Balance (ability · Economics · European union · Fiscal policy · International economics · Macroeconomics · Medium term · Member states · Pact · Resizing · Sanctions · Stability (learning theory · Stability and Growth Pact · Term (time · Computer Science · European Monetary and Fiscal Policies · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Regional Development and Policy

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Unique citing works25
Citations per year1
Citation span2001 - 2021 (21)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 24

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