Diversion and Political Survival in Latin America
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6283203 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Ross A Miller (0000-0002-9376-9569, University of Nebraska–Lincoln), Özlem Elgün (DePaul University) |
| Year | 2011 |
| Volume | 55 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 192-219 |
| Publication date | 2011-04-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002710381064 |
| OpenAlex | W2139981111 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 13 |
| References cited | 63 |
In spite of its long history among scholars of international conflict, empirical evaluations of diversionary theory have produced contrasting—even contradictory— results. We offer three reasons for these differences: choice of unit of analysis; failure to model the reciprocal relationship between threats to the survival of political leaders on one hand, and international conflict participation on the other; and measurement error in operationalizations of the independent variable—the incentive of leaders to divert. We construct an empirical test that addresses all of these concerns. Our analysis of data from Latin America during the period 1960-99 reveals robust evidence in support of diversionary theory. The results also expose the biasing effects associated with the failure to control for reciprocal causation and measurement problems
Causality (physics · Causation · Construct (python library · Economics · Empirical research · Epistemology · Incentive · Latin Americans · Microeconomics · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Reciprocal · Test (biology · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology
Integrating Research on Civil–Military Relations and Interstate Conflict and Crisis Engagement
Domestic turmoil and diversionary hypothesis
Diversionary Peace
External threats and political survival
The use of fear and anger to alter crisis initiation
Coup-Proofing and Military Inefficiencies
Partisanship, Militarized International Conflict, and Electoral Support for the Incumbent
The Effects of Militarized Interstate Disputes on Incumbent Voting Across Genders
Regime Vulnerability and the Diversionary Threat of Force
When War Helps Civil–military Relations
Civil-military Pathologies and Defeat in War
A heterogeneous rally effect for a corrupt president
Economic slowdowns and international conflict
Triangulating Peace
The Diffusion of War
War and Punishment
Introduction to Factor Analysis
A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity
Política entre las naciones
The Correlates of War (Cow) Project Direct Contiguity Data, Version 3.0
The Logic of Political Survival
Limited-dependent and qualitative variables in econometrics
Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816–1992
Alliance Treaty Obligations and Provisions, 1815-1944
Interstate metrics
Threats, opportunity, and force
Domestic Politics and U.S. Foreign Policy
Taking Time Seriously
Theory of international politics
Poverty, the Coup Trap, and the Seizure of Executive Power
Domestic Politics and Foreign Policy
Domestic Support and Diversionary External Conflict in Great Britain, 1950- 1992
Trade Still Follows the Flag
Demography, Democracy and Disputes
Peace through Insecurity
Domestic Discontent and the External Use of Force
Which Way Out
Democratic Diversions
Domestic Political Vulnerability and International Disputes
Toward a Structural Understanding of Coup Risk
Rivalry and Diversionary Uses of Force
Dimensions of conflict behavior within and between nations, 1958-60
Domestic Politics, Absolute Deprivation, and the Use of Armed Force in Interstate Territorial Disputes, 1950-1990
Election Cycles and War
Regime Type, Strategic Interaction, and the Diversionary Use of Force
Domestic Strife and the Initiation of International Conflicts
Israeli Military Actions and Internalization-externalization Processes
Does the Diversionary Use of Force Threaten the Democratic Peace? Assessing the Effect of Economic Growth on Interstate Conflict, 1921?2001
Alliance Formation and War
Democracy and Diversionary Military Intervention
Diversionary Foreign Policy in Democratic Systems
Numbers Are Not Enough
Externalization of Conflict
Conflict, Agency, and Gambling for Resurrection
Domestic Structures and the Diversionary Use of Force
Do Alliances Deter Aggression? The Influence of Military Alliances on the Initiation of Militarized Interstate Disputes
Domestic Strife and the Initiation of Violence at Home and Abroad
Diversionary War and Argentina's Invasion of the Falkland Islands
War and the Survival of Political Leaders
Some Further Findings Regarding the Domestic and Foreign Conflict Behavior of Nations
Avoiding Diversionary Targets
Domestic and Foreign Conflict Behavior of Nations
Time and Power in Africa
Diffusion, Reinforcement, Geopolitics, and the Spread of War
War and the Fate of Regimes
An Institutional Explanation of the Democratic Peace
Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War
The Predictability of Coups d'état
From Bullets to Ballots
The Persistence of Social Groups. II
The Persistence of Social Groups
| Unique citing works | 13 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1 |
| Citation span | 2013 - 2026 (14) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 13 |