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Why Democracy Protests Do Not Diffuse

Bibliographic Data

ID6284053
AuthorsDawn Brancati (0000-0003-0392-7154, Columbia University, corresponding author), Adrián Lucardi (0000-0002-3284-4860, Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México)
Year2019
Volume63
Issue10
Pages2354-2389
Publication date2019-11-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002718815957
OpenAlexW2905648590
LanguageEN
Citations received10
References cited66

One of the primary international factors proposed to explain the geographic and temporal clustering of democracy is the diffusion of democracy protests. Democracy protests are thought to diffuse across countries, primarily, through a demonstration effect, whereby protests in one country cause protests in another based on the positive information that they convey about the likelihood of successful protests elsewhere and, secondarily, through the actions of transnational activists. In contrast to this view, we argue that, in general, democracy protests are not likely to diffuse across countries because the motivation for and the outcome of democracy protests result from domestic processes that are unaffected or undermined by the occurrence of democracy protests in other countries. Our statistical analysis supports this argument. Using daily data on the onset of democracy protests around the world between 1989 and 2011, we find that in this period, democracy protests were not significantly more likely to occur in countries when democracy protests had occurred in neighboring countries, either in general or in ways consistent with the expectations of diffusion arguments

Argument (complex analysis · Democracy · Development economics · Direct democracy · Economics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Medicine · Political Conflict and Governance

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Unique citing works10
Citations per year1,43
Citation span2019 - 2026 (8)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 9

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