Rethinking Democratic Diffusion
Bringing Regime Type Back In
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6246293 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Edward Goldring (0000-0002-7457-6809, University of Missouri), Sheena Chestnut Greiten (0000-0002-9767-4276, University of Missouri, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2020 |
| Volume | 53 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 319-353 |
| Publication date | 2020-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Comparative Political Studies (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0010-4140 • E-ISSN: 1552-3829 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0010414019852701 |
| OpenAlex | W2950597072 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 14 |
| References cited | 98 |
Studies of democratic diffusion often emphasize geographic proximity: democratization in a country or region makes democratization nearby more likely. We argue that regime type has been underappreciated; authoritarian breakdown and democratization often diffuse along networks of similar regimes. A regime’s type affects its vulnerability to popular challenge, and regime similarity increases the likelihood that protest strategies developed against one regime are effective against similar regimes. We employ a qualitative case study from China to generate our theory, then test it quantitatively and with out-of-sample cases. We find that regime similarity strongly predicts autocratic breakdown and democratic diffusion, making both outcomes more likely. Including regime similarity significantly reduces the effect of geographic proximity, although geographic proximity may increase the effect of regime similarity. Reinterpreting democratic diffusion as a regime-type phenomenon calls for revision to conventional wisdom on the role of international factors in authoritarian breakdown and democratization
Authoritarianism · Autocracy · Democracy · Democratization · Development economics · Diffusion · Econometrics · Economic geography · Economic system · Economics · Phenomenon · Physics · Political science · Politics · Regime change · Similarity (geometry · China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Conflict and Governance
The Road to Repression
A institucionalização partidária afeta a capacidade estatal
Opposing Power
Diffusion and the choice of democratic government system at the time of democratisation
Activists Against Autocrats
A danger to avoid or nothing to worry about? China and the protests in Korea during 2016–2017
Toward Market Leninism in North Korea
Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies
Autocratization Spillover
Democracy as a cause of semi-presidential regimes
Surveillance, Security, and Liberal Democracy in the Post-Covid World
Information capacity and social order
Supporting democracy when other democracies prosper
The Diffusion of Exclusion
Spatial Regression Models
Defeating Authoritarian Leaders in Postcommunist Countries
Analogies at War
Dictators and their Secret Police
Making Waves
The SLX Model
Subversive Institutions
The International Dimensions of Democratization
Diffusion of Democracy
The Correlates of War (Cow) Project Direct Contiguity Data, Version 3.0
The Arab Spring
The Case Study
Mobilizing for Democracy
The Legacy of Tiananmen
Religion and Authoritarianism
The Logic of Political Survival
Determinants of Democratization
Resort to War, 1816-2007
Competitive Authoritarianism
Learning and the diffusion of regime contention in the Arab Spring
Syria in the Arab Spring
Authoritarian Learning and Authoritarian Resilience
The Contagious Diffusion of Worldwide Terrorism
Religion and the State in Russia and China
When Conflict Spreads
China's Fear of Contagion
China ́ s Communist Party
Which Dictators Produce Quality of Government
Defect or Defend
Deng
Southern African Responses to Eastern European Developments
The Diffusion of Democracy, 1946–1994
The 1986 Student Demonstrations in China
Now out of Never
How Did Europe Democratize
The Southern European Examples of Democratization
Diffusion-Proofing
Inequality and Democracy
The Middle East and North Africa’s Resilient Monarchs
W
All Economics is Local
Spatial Econometric Models of Cross-Sectional Interdependence in Political Science Panel and Time-Series-Cross-Section Data
Autocratic Breakdown and Regime Transitions
Structure and Example in Modular Political Phenomena
The Strength to Concede
Contentious Collective Action and the Breakdown of Authoritarian Regimes
Pathways from Authoritarianism
Democracy's Past and Future
Resilient Royals
Comparing the Arab Revolts
Democratic Dominoes Revisited
Democratic Dominoes
Are Coups Really Contagious? An Extreme Bounds Analysis of Political Diffusion
When War Helps Civil–military Relations
Why Democracy Protests Do Not Diffuse
Contagious Rebellion and Preemptive Repression
Space Is More than Geography
Choosing Your Neighbors
Autocracies and International Cooperation
Spatial Effects in Dyadic Data
From Shocks to Waves
Diffusion and the International Context of Democratization
Democracy from the Outside-In? International Organizations and Democratization
Competing for Capital
Diffusion or Confusion? Clustered Shocks and the Conditional Diffusion of Democracy
The structural context of recent transitions to democracy
Black knights and elections in authoritarian regimes
Interdependence in Comparative Politics
Diffusion Is No Illusion
Ties to the Rest
Time Will Tell? Temporality and the Analysis of Causal Mechanisms and Processes
Regime Change Cascades
What Do We Know About Democratization After Twenty Years
Riding the Wave
Do Authoritarian Institutions Constrain? How Legislatures Affect Economic Growth and Investment
Income, Democracy, and Leader Turnover
Don't Stand So Close to Me
Portents of Pluralism
The Democratic Domino Theory
Elections and Democratization in Authoritarian Regimes
The Strategic Origins of Electoral Authoritarianism
Authoritarian Institutions and Regime Survival
International diffusion and postcommunist electoral revolutions
The Process, Prospects and Constraints of Democratization in Africa
Diffusion, Development, and Democracy, 1800-1999
Organized violence, 1989-2016
Armed Conflict 1946-2001
Some Social Requisites of Democracy
Strongmen and Straw Men
Crafting Counterrevolution
| Unique citing works | 14 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,33 |
| Citation span | 2020 - 2026 (7) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 14 |