Incumbent-Aligned Terrorism and Voting Behavior
Evidence from Argentina’s 1973 Elections
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6284233 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Pearce Edwards (0000-0002-7990-2247, Institute for Politics and Strategy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, corresponding author), Patrick Pierson (0000-0003-1481-3419, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 67 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 672-700 |
| Publication date | 2023-04-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/00220027221121141 |
| OpenAlex | W4293481508 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 73 |
What is the relationship between domestic terrorism and voting behavior? Past research notes the prevalence of domestic terrorist attacks in democratic regimes, but focuses primarily on such violence as a “weapon of the weak.” We extend this literature by focusing on terrorism by incumbent-aligned armed groups and argue these actors use selective violence against political elites to delegitimize the political opposition and provide credible signals of the instability and unrest that is likely to accompany a transfer of power. Using data from two Argentine presidential elections in 1973, we evaluate the relationship between incidents of violence and changes in two measures of voting behavior—vote share and turnout. Consistent with expectations, left-wing political violence between elections reduced right-wing vote share but did not reduce turnout. Additional tests support the mechanism that violence increased voters’ doubts about a potential right-wing government’s ability to govern, and show violence is correlated with future repression
Criminology · Democracy · Opposition (politics · Political economy · Political science · Political violence · Politics · Presidential system · Sociology · Terrorism · Turnout · Unrest · Voting · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
The Terrorist's Dilemma
Using a natural experiment to estimate the electoral consequences of terrorist attacks
The Monopoly of Violence
Votes and Violence
Rule by Violence, Rule by Law
Latin America's Radical Left
A History of Argentina in the Twentieth Century
State Repression and the Domestic Democratic Peace
The Social Bases of Political Parties in Argentina, 1912–2003
Voting in the Shadow of Violence
Paying the Price for Patronage
Revisiting Urban Guerrillas
Types of Minority Discrimination and Terrorism
Challenging the State
Turnout, political preferences and information
The Strategies of Terrorism
Violence, bribery, and fraud
Votes and Violence
Bureaucratic authoritarianism
Voting for Victors
Elections and the Timing of Terrorist Attacks
Democratic Competition and Terrorist Activity
Deterring or Displacing Electoral Irregularities? Spillover Effects of Observers in a Randomized Field Experiment in Ghana
Terrorism and Civil War
How and Why Armed Groups Participate in Elections
Thugs-for-Hire
Domestic Terrorism in Democratic States
Governments, Informal Links to Militias, and Accountability
Militias, Ideology, and the State
Weapon of the Strong? Government Support for Religion and Majoritarian Terrorism
Terrorism, Democracy, and Credible Commitments1
Sabotaging the Peace
Economic Intimidation in Contemporary Elections
The Causes of Terrorism
The Production of Electoral Intimidation
Strategic Voting in Conditions of Political Instability
Terrorism and Democracy
Can Terrorism Abroad Influence Migration Attitudes at Home
The Propaganda of the Deed
A Closer Look at Reporting Bias in Conflict Event Data
Do Islamic State’s Deadly Attacks Disengage, Deter, or Mobilize Supporters
Electoral Institutions and the Emergence of Terrorist Groups
Systematic Measurement Error in Election Violence Data
Moral Identity and Protest Cascades in Syria
War Makes the Regime
Grist to the mill of subversion
Between a Rock and a Hard Place
Political Violence and Regime Change in Argentina
The Politics of the Allende Overthrow in Chile
Re-examining the evidence on the electoral impact of terrorist attacks
Voters versus terrorists
Vote buying and violence in Nigerian election campaigns
Do Terrorist Attacks Increase Closer to Elections
Votes and violence
Intimidating voters with violence and mobilizing them with clientelism
Poverty, minority economic discrimination, and domestic terrorism
Using violence, seeking votes
Pre-election violence and territorial control
Political life after civil wars
Veto players and terror
The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism
Are Voters Sensitive to Terrorism? Direct Evidence from the Israeli Electorate
Terrorism and Voting
The Political Violence Cycle
The Impact of Persistent Terrorism on Political Tolerance
Conflictos laborales en la Argentina, 1973-1976
State Corporatism in Argentina
Occupation and Vote in Urban Argentina
Political Violence and Trauma in Argentina
| Unique citing works | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,67 |
| Citation span | 2023 - 2025 (3) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 2 |