Credibility, Organizational Politics, and Crisis Decision Making
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6284780 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Don Casler (0000-0003-3997-9263, Department of Political Science, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 69 |
| Issue | 6 |
| Pages | 1059-1088 |
| Publication date | 2025-07-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/00220027241268586 |
| OpenAlex | W4401847008 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 6 |
| References cited | 86 |
When and why do foreign policy officials believe that it is important to fight for credibility? Conventional wisdom suggests that policymakers tend to care uniformly about how others perceive them. Yet this logic overlooks substantial variation in how officials prioritize credibility when weighing policy options. I argue that organizational identity affects the dimensions of credibility that policymakers value and their preferences on the use of force. Diplomats see the world from a reputational perspective, whereas military officials do so through the lens of military capabilities. During crises, diplomats match their advice to reputational considerations, while military officials attend to available capabilities. I examine these propositions via an original, vignette-based elite experiment involving over 250 U.S. national security officials and analysis of historical elite survey data. The findings demonstrate that where you sit shapes when you want to fight for credibility
Credibility · Economics · Elite · Foreign policy · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Public relations · Vignette · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology
The sources of military doctrine
Dangerous Instrument
Dominoes and Bandwagons
Dictators at War and Peace
Shaping Strategy
The Forging of Bureaucratic Autonomy
System Effects
Armed Servants
A Study of Crisis
Tutorial
Prolific.ac—A subject pool for online experiments
Essence of Decision
The logic of images in international relations.
Presidential decisionmaking in foreign policy
The Limits of Safety
The Purpose of Intervention
Berlin on the Brink
Conflict Among Nations
Perception and Misperception in International Politics
Statements of Resolve
History and Strategy
Reputation for Resolve
Diplomacy
Foreign Service
Decision-Making in American Foreign Policy
Leaders at War
Of Friends and Foes
Rival Reputations
Imagining War
Soldiers and Civilians
Credibility and World Power
Are You Experienced? US Ambassadors and International Crises, 1946–2014
What Allies Want
Paradoxes of Professionalism
Who Fights for Reputation
Soldiers, Statesmen, and Cold War Crises
Diplomat among Warriors
Presidents, Bureaucrats and Foreign Policy
Suez deconstructed
Soldiers, Statesmen, and Cold War Crises
Beyond the Turk
The Back Channel
Redefining the Debate Over Reputation and Credibility in International Security
The Origin and Meaning of Miles' Law
Leaders, Advisers, and the Political Origins of Elite Support for War
Reputations for Resolve and Higher-Order Beliefs in Crisis Bargaining
Wargame of Drones
Leaders, States, and Reputations
Are Soldiers Less War-Prone than Statesmen
Generals in the Cabinet
The Things They Carried
No False Promises
Military Experience and Elite Decision-Making
The Character and Origins of Military Attitudes on the Use of Force
Advisers and Aggregation in Foreign Policy Decision Making
How Prior Military Experience Influences the Future Militarized Behavior of Leaders
Conflict, Cooperation, and Delegated Diplomacy
Revisiting Reputation
Pool or Duel? Cooperation and Competition Among International Organizations
A Dispositional Theory of Reputation Costs
Reputation and Status as Motives for War
Experiments and Surveys on Political Elites
Leader Influence and Reputation Formation in World Politics
Backing Out or Backing In? Commitment and Consistency in Audience Costs Theory
How Do Observers Assess Resolve
Reputations and deterrence
Trivial Tripwires
Reputation, Cult of Reputation, and International Conflict
How to make elite experiments work in International Relations
Domestic Audience Costs in International Relations
Foundations of the Theory of Organization
Socialization and violence
Culture and Preferences in the International Cooperation Two-Step
Informing the Leader
| Unique citing works | 6 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3 |
| Citation span | 2024 - 2026 (3) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 6 |