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Partisan Divide on War and the Economy

Presidential Approval of G. W. Bush

Bibliographic Data

ID6285152
AuthorsGerald T Fox (Earl N. Phillips School of Business High Point University, High Point, North Carolina, corresponding author)
Year2009
Volume53
Issue6
Pages905-933
Publication date2009-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002709344418
OpenAlexW2170164406
LanguageEN
Citations received10
References cited65

This study examines the influence of 9/11, the Iraq War, the economy, and the coalition-of-minorities on presidential approval of G. W. Bush across partisan subgroups and aggregate popularity. The analysis considers the effect of underlying partisan preferences on overall approval. A partisan divide occurs for war and the economy on Bush popularity. The events of 9/11 and the Iraq War affect Democratic opinions of Bush more than Republican opinions, whereas the economy impacts Republicans more than Democrats. An in-party/out-party rally effect occurs. Democrats show stronger rallies than Republicans for 9/11 and the Iraq War, but also faster and deeper popularity decay of the rallies. All economic and war-related effects significantly influence Independents and aggregate Bush popularity. The coalition-of-minorities pattern of declining presidential approval is caused by the 9/11 rally decay effect, the war casualties effect, and the slowing economy during Bush’s second term in office

Democracy · Development economics · Economics · Economy · Iraq war · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Popularity · Presidential system · Spanish Civil War · World War II · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Media Influence and Politics

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Unique citing works10
Citations per year0,63
Citation span2010 - 2025 (16)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 10

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