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Focal Points, Dissident Calendars, and Preemptive Repression

Bibliographic Data

ID6286199
AuthorsRory Truex (0000-0002-3808-4874, Princeton University, corresponding author)
Year2019
Volume63
Issue4
Pages1032-1052
Publication date2019-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002718770520
OpenAlexW3125233458
LanguageEN
Citations received70
References cited34

This article explains temporal variation in repression as a function of the “dissident calendar,” the set of events that serve as natural focal points for coordination. The core argument is that regimes can anticipate the events that create these focal points and engage in preemptive repression to survive their passing. This dynamic produces predictable, often cyclical patterns in repression. An analysis of dissident detentions in China from 1998 to 2014 shows that “focal events” alone appear to be responsible for more than 20 percent of dissident detentions over the analysis period. Such detentions tend to be shorter and rely less on formal criminal procedures, suggesting a “catch-and-release” dynamic. Additional analysis of detentions in Tibet shows how the calendar may vary by issue or group

Argument (complex analysis · Cardinal point · Focal point · Function (biology · Political science · Psychological repression · Set (abstract data type · China's Ethnic Minorities and Relations · China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance · Computer Science · Medicine · Vietnamese History and Culture Studies

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Unique citing works70
Citations per year7,78
Citation span2017 - 2026 (10)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 70

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