Protest, Deterrence, and Escalation
The Strategic Calculus of Government Repression
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6283897 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jan Henryk Pierskalla (Duke University, Durham, NC,), Jan Pierskalla (0000-0003-0483-3360, Duke University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2010 |
| Volume | 54 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 117-145 |
| Publication date | 2010-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002709352462 |
| OpenAlex | W2069807251 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 158 |
| References cited | 33 |
The theoretical literature on government repression has mostly taken a choice theoretic perspective, wherein either the protest group optimally chooses a protest tactic in response to government behavior or the government optimally chooses a repression strategy. This approach is insufficient for capturing the strategic nature of protest and repression. The theoretical shortcomings of this approach are reflected in contradictory empirical findings on the effects of repression on dissent. The article develops an extensive strategic game between the government and an opposition group that allows one to identify the conditions for successful deterrence or protest. Introducing incomplete information and a third-party threat additionally produces equilibria with repression and escalating violence. The model produces novel testable hypotheses that shed new light on the effect of repression on dissent, the likelihood of violence, and the possibility of a coup. Implications for the domestic democratic peace and “murder in the middle” hypothesis are drawn
Criminology · Democracy · Deterrence theory · Dissent · Economics · Enforcement · Government (linguistics · Opposition (politics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Psychological repression · Sociology · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology
Concessions and Protest Demobilization
The Oxford Handbook of Social Movements
The Historical Roots of Political Violence
Democracy and Nationalism in Southeast Asia
Civil Society Organizations and Protests’ Escalation to Civil War in Non-Democracies
East Timor
Civil Resistance and Repression Backlash
The Unemployed and the Restless
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Can You Hear Me Now? How Communication Technology Affects Protest and Repression
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The Death and Life of State Repression
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When Will an Authoritarian Regime Concede? A Framework for Strategic Campaigning through Issue Selection and Framing
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Climate migrants as protestors? Dispelling misconceptions about global environmental change in pre-revolutionary Syria
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External threat and human rights
Introducing DyoRep
The internet and state repression
Dirty war
Guerrilla Protest
Emotional protesters
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Governing on the Edge. How International Pressures Shape the Geography of State Power
Violence, non-violence and the conditional effect of repression on subsequent dissident mobilization
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The apparatus for violence
An Epidemic Model of Violence and Public Support in Civil War
Economic crises, civilian mobilization, and repression in developing states
Examining repressive and oppressive state violence using the Ill-Treatment and Torture data
Is collective repression an effective counterinsurgency technique? Unpacking the cyclical relationship between repression and civil conflict
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The Arab Spring, Winter, and Back Again? (Re)Introducing the Dissent-Repression Nexus with a Twist
Is it all the same? Repression of the media and civil society organizations as determinants of anti-government opposition
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Social Movement Theory and the Onset of the Popular Uprising in Syria
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The forgotten protest dynamics
Dynamics of protest
Political and economic protests in authoritarian regimes
Revolutionary leaders and the punishment of critics
The Politics of Urban Bias
How does violence deter? Functional and informational effects of preemptive repression
Predicting armed conflict using protest data
Accounting for variability in conflict dynamics
Foreign interests and state repression
Choosing tactics
Why No Justice for Past Repression? Militaries and Human Rights Organizations in Post-Authoritarian States
Democracy and the Transnational Dimensions of Low-Level Conflict and State Repression
Oil discoveries, civil war, and preventive state repression
Dual Identity in Repressive Contexts
Political Control
Coloured by revolution
Human Rights During Transition
The Nicaragua Protest Crisis in 2018–2019
Responses to the rapid reactionary social change
Exposure to protests and support for different forms of violence
Strategies of Repression
Political Repression and the Destruction of Dissident Organizations
Anticipating Dissent
The Punisher’s Dilemma
The Wages of Repression
Framing Police Violence
Treaties, Tenure, and Torture
Preventing Dissent
How Exiles Mobilize Domestic Dissent
Human Rights Violations and Post-election Protest
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On repression and its effectiveness
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Why Do People Join Backlash Protests? Lessons from Turkey
Strategic Sovereignty
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The Geography of Repression in Africa
The Impact of Domestic Surveillance on Political Imprisonment
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Authoritarian Institutions and State Repression
Policy Disputes, Political Survival, and the Onset and Severity of State Repression
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The Logic of Violence in Civil War
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Cross-National Variation in Political Violence
Violence and Uncertainty in Transitions
Deterrence or Escalation
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Cheap Signals with Costly Consequences
Conditions Affecting the Use of Political Repression
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Authoritarian Institutions and the Survival of Autocrats
Repression and Dissent
Social Networks and Collective Action
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The Political Economy of Tiananmen Square
State Repression and Political Order
Concessions, Repression, and Political Protest in the Iranian Revolution
Collective Action and Network Structure
The Full Weight of the State
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Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change, and Civil War, 1816-1992
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Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War
| Unique citing works | 158 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 10,53 |
| Citation span | 2011 - 2026 (16) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 157 |