The influence of strategic retirement on the incumbency advantage in US House elections
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6299407 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Benjamin Highton (0000-0001-8021-7426, Department of Political Science, University of California, USA,, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2011 |
| Volume | 23 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 431-447 |
| Publication date | 2011-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Theoretical Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0951-6298 • E-ISSN: 1460-3667 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0951629811416323 |
| OpenAlex | W2133495707 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 5 |
| References cited | 41 |
Failure to take into account ‘strategic retirement’ leads to inflated estimates of the incumbent electoral advantage. The one attempt to address this issue in the context of US House elections implies that much of the supposed incumbency advantage and most of its presumed increase over time are illusory (Cox and Katz, 2002). This paper identifies possible problems with the Cox and Katz (2002) method and develops a new approach based on simulating the counterfactual condition of incumbents standing for re-election rather than retiring. The results show that when the bias induced by strategic retirement is removed, much of the apparent incumbency advantage and its increase over time remain evident
Context (archaeology · Counterfactual thinking · Democracy · Economics · Labour economics · Lower house · Political science · Politics · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Game Theory and Voting Systems · Law · Psychology · Social Psychology
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| Unique citing works | 5 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,42 |
| Citation span | 2014 - 2026 (13) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 5 |