How the Cases You Choose Affect the Answers You Get
Selection Bias in Comparative Politics
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6331740 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Barbara Geddes (0000-0002-7679-341X, corresponding author), Geddes Barbara (corresponding author) |
| Year | 1990 |
| Volume | 2 |
| Pages | 131-150 |
| Publication date | 1990-01-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Political Analysis (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1047-1987 • E-ISSN: 1476-4989 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1093/pan/2.1.131 |
| OpenAlex | W2100784037 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 282 |
| References cited | 13 |
This article demonstrates how the selection of cases for study on the basis of outcomes on the dependent variable biases conclusions. It first lays out the logic of explanation and shows how it is violated when only cases that have achieved the outcome of interest are studied. It then examines three well-known and highly regarded studies in the field of comparative politics, comparing the conclusions reached in the original work with a test of the arguments on cases selected without regard for their position on the dependent variable. In each instance, conclusions based on the uncorrelated sample differ from the original conclusions
Affect (linguistics · Econometrics · Economics · Field (mathematics · Mathematical economics · Outcome (game theory · Political science · Politics · Position (finance · Positive economics · Selection (genetic algorithm · Selection bias · Statistics · Test (biology · Uncorrelated · Variable (mathematics · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Mathematics · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Qualitative Comparative Analysis Research · Social Psychology · Artificial Intelligence
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| Unique citing works | 282 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 9,1 |
| Citation span | 1995 - 2026 (32) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 280 |